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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
31.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
51
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
44.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
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Nova Ljubljanska Banka d.d
AU
AuCA
Community Contributor
Nova Ljubljanska Banka d.d will expect a 11.2% revenue boost driving future growth
The NLB Banka Vision: Achieving €2.2 Billion Revenue and €1 Billion Profit NLB Banka stands at a pivotal moment in its journey. Guided by a bold vision set forth by its Board of Directors, the bank is primed to transform into a leading financial powerhouse across Southeastern Europe (SEE).
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€169.00
FV
1.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.98%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
SAP
TO
Tokyo
Community Contributor
EU#1 - From German Startup to EU’s Biggest Company
In the world of enterprise software, few names carry as much weight as SAP. What started as a small German startup has evolved into the largest publicly listed company in Europe by market capitalization.
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€248.62
FV
0.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
6
users have commented on this narrative
28
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
IN
InvestorVit
Community Contributor
Best REIT to buy right now
Smartcenters has a diversified portfolio of clients that are pretty recession proof and immune to standard retail challenges Occupancy rate is higher than industry standards while also being able to charge more due to their quality locations Top-tier management that is financially conservative allows them to keep their incredibly high dividend in times of economic downturn while competitors were forced to lower dividends The company's financial position is solid and the giant dividend they are paying is still maintained by cash flows Expanding into mixed use facilities and self-storage will create a more diversified and secured revenue base Decrease in interest rates will lower costs and improve margins giving the company a better cash position to decrease debt or encourage growth
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CA$35.91
FV
29.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-0.60%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
MDA Space
IN
IndusyHoldings
Community Contributor
MDA Space - All-round solutions for space
Key takeaways The main source of income is the market for Low Earth Orbit (LEO) and Medium Earth Orbit Satellites (MEO) with a revenue share of almost 60%. The space industry is currently experiencing strong growth and is expected to grow by an average of 9% per year until 2035.
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CA$44.08
FV
12.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
26.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
8
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Access Holdings
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Access Holdings Delivers Resilient Q1 2025 Earnings Despite Margin Pressure
Access Holdings posted a pre-tax profit of ₦222.78 billion in Q1 2025, up 9.89% year-on-year , demonstrating a resilient bottom line amid a turbulent cost environment and margin compression. This performance was powered largely by robust non-interest income , offsetting the steep erosion in net interest margins.
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₦28.00
FV
0.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
65.21%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
6
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
NNFM
Northern Nigeria Flour Mills
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Strong Revenue Growth and Asset Expansion Drive NNFM’s Q1 2025 Earnings Upsurge
Northern Nigeria Flour Mills Plc (NNFM) has delivered a solid financial performance for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, reflecting robust topline growth, disciplined cost management, and significant balance sheet expansion. Key Takeaways: Revenue surged by 36.38% year-on-year to N35.3 billion (FY 2024: N25.9 billion), underscoring strong product demand and effective market penetration.
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₦71.00
FV
31.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Alibaba Group Holding
ST
StefanoF
Community Contributor
Alibaba's Fair Value may Suggests Growth Despite Trade and Regulatory Risks but...
Alibaba delivered solid FY2025 results with revenue growing 6% to RMB 996.3 billion ($137.3B). Key highlights include core e-commerce (Taobao/Tmall) customer management revenue growing 12%, Cloud Intelligence revenue accelerating to 18% growth, and AI-related products achieving triple-digit growth for the seventh consecutive quarter.
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US$107.09
FV
12.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.12%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Porsche Automobil Holding
ST
StefanoF
Community Contributor
Is Porsche Automobil Holding set to surpass analyst targets with fair value at €40
Based on my research, here's a brief fundamental analysis and DCF valuation of Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PAH3): Fundamental Analysis Business Model: Porsche SE is a holding company that owns 52.2% of Volkswagen AG (including 12 brands: Audi, Bentley, Bugatti, Ducati, Lamborghini, MAN, Porsche, Scania, SEAT, ŠKODA, Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles and Volkswagen Passenger Cars) and has investments in mobility and industrial technology 2024 Financial Performance: Profit after tax: €2.51 billion (9M 2024), down 34% YoY from €3.8 billion 2024 full-year profit forecast: €2.4-4.4 billion range Net debt projected: €5.0-5.5 billion by year-end 2024 2024 dividend: €1.910 per preferred share, €1.904 per ordinary share Key Challenges: Expected significant non-cash impairment losses on VW and Porsche AG investments for 2024, making group result after tax significantly negative Trading at 29.8% discount to NAV Heavy reliance on dividends from VW and Porsche AG for debt servicing DCF Valuation Current Market Data: Current stock price: €36.77 (as of April 28, 2025) Analyst average price target: €45.78 (range: €35-78) DCF Analysis: PAH3's DCF value cannot be reliably calculated due to the holding company structure and irregular cash flow patterns. However, alternative valuation approaches suggest: Intrinsic value estimate: $6.849 USD (€6.40 approx.) - shows 26% undervaluation based on multiples-only approach Analyst consensus implies 31.74% upside potential to €45.78 Investment Thesis: Strengths: Exposure to leading automotive brands, solid dividend history, trading at discount to NAV Risks: High leverage (€5.3B net debt), impairment charges, dependence on underlying holdings' performance Conclusion: PAH3 appears undervalued at current levels, but traditional DCF valuation is challenging due to its holding company structure.
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€40.00
FV
11.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Cerro de Pasco Resources
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
A CASE FOR USD$2.50 (CAD$3.44) BY 2028 (A 5-10 BAGGER)
Projection for December 2028, Assuming Silver at USD 100, Oil at USD 50/Barrel, Gallium Prices Stable, and All Production Goals Achieved Company Overview Cerro de Pasco Resources Inc. (TSXV:CDPR) is a Canadian junior mining company focused on silver, zinc, and lead exploration and development, primarily through its El Metalurgista concession in Peru.
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CA$3.44
FV
87.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
105.46%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
32
users have followed this narrative
about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative
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