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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Divgi TorqTransfer Systems
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Legacy Transmission Systems Will Wither Amid EV Disruption
Key Takeaways Lack of diversification in both products and customers exposes the company to significant risks from industry shifts and changing client strategies. Slow adaptation to electric vehicle technologies and global market disruptions threatens revenue stability and long-term competitiveness.
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₹408.00
FV
52.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
THK
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Declining Industrial Trends Will Outweigh Modest Automation Gains
Key Takeaways Structural industry shifts and competitive pricing pressures threaten THK's market position, compressing margins and limiting recovery prospects even with internal cost measures. Reliance on legacy products and slow business transformation expose THK to persistent earnings volatility and risk of obsolescence amid changing industrial and geopolitical landscapes.
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JP¥3.10k
FV
38.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Usio
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Consolidation Will Force Margins Lower While Digital Adoption Offers Hope
Key Takeaways Usio faces intense competition and consolidation in payments, risking customer churn, margin pressure, and challenges to sustaining strong revenue growth. Required investments in technology, compliance, and security could elevate costs and delay improvements in profitability amidst regulatory and industry pressures.
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US$4.00
FV
58.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
15.47%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Phison Electronics
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Rising Regulation And Competition Will Curtail Semiconductor Prospects
Key Takeaways Geopolitical shifts, self-sufficiency efforts, and stricter regulations are shrinking addressable markets and heightening operational and compliance costs, limiting revenue growth. Intensifying competition, commoditization, and dependency on costly R&D threaten margins and profitability amid industry cyclicality and potential overcapacity.
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NT$445.01
FV
18.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.34%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Shifting Defense Trends Will Erode Traditional Shipbuilding
Key Takeaways Overdependence on traditional shipbuilding and Indian government orders increases vulnerability to shifting defense technologies, policy changes, and potential revenue instability. Limited R&D modernization and rising ESG demands could hamper competitiveness, future order flows, and margin sustainability amid intensifying global pressures.
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₹515.00
FV
401.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
30.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Blue Jet Healthcare
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Escalating Regulatory And Supply Risks Will Weaken Outlook
Key Takeaways Margin and earnings growth are threatened by global regulatory pressures, environmental compliance costs, and increased supply chain risks linked to emerging market dependencies. Heavy reliance on a concentrated customer base and lagging technological adaptation heighten the risk of revenue volatility and competitive disadvantages.
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₹730.00
FV
9.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.33%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Man Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Global Regulatory Burdens And Fee Compression Will Erode Future Margins
Key Takeaways Persistent industry shifts toward passive investing, regulatory pressures, and fierce competition threaten long-term revenue growth and earnings resilience for Man Group. Heavy dependence on quantitative strategies and increased operational risks from technology expansion could lead to volatility in performance fees and reputational challenges.
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UK£1.62
FV
0.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.64%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Bajaj Consumer Care
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Flagship Dependence And Rising Regulatory Costs Will Intensify Valuation Concerns
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on a single flagship product risks revenue stagnation amid shifting consumer preferences and increased competition from emerging and global personal care brands. Rising regulatory costs, underperforming diversification, and volatile input prices are likely to constrain margins and limit long-term earnings growth.
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₹181.00
FV
24.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.57%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tupy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Tariff Pressures And Weak Demand Will Yield Modest Recovery
Key Takeaways Expansion into higher-margin and sustainable solutions is underway, but new business lines remain too small to offset declines in the core segment. Margin growth is challenged by high costs, slow market adoption of new technologies, and vulnerability to revenue volatility from customer concentration.
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R$18.50
FV
13.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
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