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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings — the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes — including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B — now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling — a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$268.43
FV
27.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
43.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
41.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
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Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Investments In Forestry And Renewable Energy Will Secure Future Productivity
Key Takeaways Strategic investments and increased delivery volumes in key segments could enhance productivity and stabilize supply, potentially boosting future revenue and margins. High self-sufficiency in raw materials and expansion in renewable energy projects may protect net margins and improve earnings stability.
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SEK 140.25
FV
8.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.09%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Grupo Financiero Galicia
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
HSBC Argentina Acquisition Will Strengthen Positioning Amid Economic Recovery
Key Takeaways Acquisition of HSBC's Argentina operations strengthens market position, enabling future revenue growth and improving net margins through operational efficiencies. Economic stabilization in Argentina could boost loan demand, increasing revenue growth and focusing the balance sheet on higher-yielding assets.
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AR$11.51k
FV
42.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
33.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
21
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Nutrien
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Accelerating Regulations And Rising Carbon Costs Will Squeeze Margins
Key Takeaways Shifting regulations, decarbonization efforts, and new agricultural technologies threaten long-term fertilizer demand, compressing margins and increasing operating costs. Delays in digital transformation and global trade instability could limit growth from new services, disrupt supply chains, and pressure profitability.
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CA$66.36
FV
23.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Jewelry Manufacturer Will Strengthen Cultural Appeal Through Partnerships And Global Expansion
Key Takeaways Strategic brand transformation and partnerships enhance cultural appeal, driving revenue growth through higher margins and market share expansion. International market expansion and e-commerce improvements diversify revenue, with share buybacks boosting earnings per share and shareholder returns.
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HK$15.01
FV
8.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
8
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
UNIQA Insurance Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Volatile European Rates And Insurtech Rivalry Will Constrain Returns
Key Takeaways Overreliance on traditional distribution and regional markets heightens vulnerability to tech disruptors and local economic instability. Rising climate risks and stricter regulations threaten profitability and restrict future investment opportunities.
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€9.00
FV
36.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.55%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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5 days ago
author updated this narrative
PayPoint
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Legacy Payments Will Falter As Digital Competition Advances
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on declining legacy cash and retail network threatens long-term revenue, as digital payment adoption bypasses traditional intermediaries. Rising competition, regulatory pressures, and limited geographic reach heighten risks of margin erosion, operating cost inflation, and revenue volatility.
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UK£6.00
FV
22.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-10.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Intertek Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Acquisitions And Cost Initiatives Will Improve Future Profitability In High-Margin Sectors
Key Takeaways Strategic acquisitions and expansion into high-growth sectors have strengthened margins and revenue potential, enhancing future earnings prospects. A share buyback program and strategic initiatives like selective M&A and cost reduction increase confidence in strong cash flow, earnings growth, and profitability.
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UK£56.98
FV
13.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.06%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
26
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Hindustan Petroleum
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 31 Analysts
Visakh And Barmer Projects To Increase Capacity And Diversify Revenue Streams
Key Takeaways Increased refinery capacity and operational efficiencies are expected to improve profitability, boosting net margins and earnings. Expansion into non-fuel retail and renewable energy projects aims to diversify revenue streams and support long-term growth.
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₹443.10
FV
4.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
ZOZO
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Lyst Integration And AI Agents Will Transform E-commerce And Cosmetics
Key Takeaways AI-driven personalization and strategic acquisitions like Lyst are expected to enhance user experience and drive sales, supporting revenue growth for ZOZO. Focusing on cosmetics expansion and ZOZOTOWN over B2B reallocates resources, potentially boosting earnings and market share.
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JP¥1.50k
FV
1.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.43%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
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