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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
23.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
39
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
23.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
4.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
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Alpha Metallurgical Resources
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Climate Mandates Will Erode Demand Despite Operational Cost Cuts
Key Takeaways Secular decline in core coal market, regulatory pressures, and ESG constraints threaten revenue growth and raise costs, limiting expansion and shareholder returns. Industry shift to electric arc furnaces and geographic concentration expose Alpha to price pressure, earnings volatility, and rising operational risks.
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US$110.00
FV
45.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-2.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
23 days ago
author updated this narrative
Diodes
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
US China Tensions And Pricing Pressures Will Erode Future Margins
Key Takeaways Geopolitical tensions, regulatory shifts, and reliance on key customers heighten risks to supply chain stability, revenue growth, and earnings consistency. Insufficient R&D and slow adaptation to emerging technologies threaten market position, pricing power, and long-term margin expansion.
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US$43.00
FV
25.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
23 days ago
author updated this narrative
Granite Construction
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
IIJA Ending And Climate Risks Will Weaken Future Value
Key Takeaways Expiration of federal infrastructure funding and limited geographic reach increase risk of unpredictable cash flow, plateauing growth, and reliance on future legislative support. Escalating project costs from climate impacts, inflation, regulatory demands, and intensifying competition threaten Granite's margins and long-term market share.
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US$76.00
FV
45.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
23 days ago
author updated this narrative
Sensient Technologies
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Rising Cost Pressures Will Erode Margins Amid Uncertain Color Prospects
Key Takeaways Accelerating consumer demand for fresh, clean-label foods reduces long-term growth prospects for Sensient's processed ingredients and threatens revenue streams. Competitive pressures, cost headwinds, and major investment needs are eroding margins, limiting free cash flow, and constraining earnings and shareholder returns.
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US$95.00
FV
21.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.55%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
23 days ago
author updated this narrative
Innovative Industrial Properties
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Defaults And Cannabis Policy Shifts Will Erode Lease Rates
Key Takeaways Legalization and increased financing access threaten the company's core business model, diminishing premium lease rates and long-term earnings potential. High tenant concentration and evolving industry trends expose the company to default risks, vacancy, and reduced demand for specialized facilities.
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US$45.00
FV
18.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-9.63%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
23 days ago
author updated this narrative
Sylvamo
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Falling Demand Will Pressure Margins While Nearshoring Moderates Losses
Key Takeaways Ongoing digitalization and mature market reliance threaten revenue stability and long-term earnings due to declining core paper demand and shifting industry dynamics. Environmental regulations, volatile input costs, and structural demand decline present persistent risks to profitability, despite diversification and efficiency efforts.
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US$61.00
FV
26.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-1.89%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
23 days ago
author updated this narrative
DXC Technology
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Digital Disruption Will Erode Overpriced IT Market Share
Key Takeaways The shift toward digital-first competitors and enduring legacy perceptions threaten DXC's market share, margins, and ability to secure large new contracts. Escalating labor costs, customer consolidation, and service commoditization create sustained margin pressures and inhibit long-term profitability improvement.
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US$15.00
FV
8.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-4.47%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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23 days ago
author updated this narrative
Kadant
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Shrinking Pulp Demand And Rising Tariffs Will Hinder Performance
Key Takeaways Structural decline in pulp and paper demand and rising low-cost competition threaten Kadant's core revenues and long-term earnings stability. Ongoing tariffs, regulation, and compliance costs are compressing margins and raising operating expenses, limiting future profit growth.
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US$275.00
FV
23.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.18%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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23 days ago
author updated this narrative
Plains GP Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Decarbonization Will Restrict Permian Pipeline Use Amid Tightening Regulations
Key Takeaways Structural shifts toward decarbonization and renewables threaten long-term demand for pipeline assets, putting sustained pressure on revenue growth and earnings stability. Operational concentration in the Permian Basin and intensifying regulatory challenges elevate both regional and compliance risks, constraining expansion and profitability.
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US$17.50
FV
8.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-3.67%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
23 days ago
author updated this narrative
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