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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
23.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
39
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
23.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
4.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
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Seadrill
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Rising Idle Rigs And Market Risks Will Strain Profits While Durable Backlogs Offer Hope
Key Takeaways Growing renewable adoption and shifting capital allocation threaten Seadrill's long-term contract pipeline, earnings visibility, and demand outlook despite current offshore strengths. Regulatory costs, ESG pressures, and fleet renewal needs may compress margins and profitability even as Seadrill invests in technology and operational excellence.
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US$32.00
FV
9.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Avis Budget Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Traditional Rentals Will Suffer Despite Moderate EV Upside
Key Takeaways New mobility options, technology-driven competitors, and shifting consumer preferences are eroding demand for traditional car rentals, challenging revenue and market relevance. Significant and ongoing investment needs for fleet electrification and digital upgrades are increasing costs, further pressuring margins and profitability.
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US$105.00
FV
50.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.18%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Peabody Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Regulatory Changes And Decarbonization Will Cripple Coal Markets
Key Takeaways Global decarbonization trends and expansion of renewables are shrinking coal demand, exposing Peabody to declining market relevance and eroding its revenue and margin outlook. Structural fixed costs, environmental liabilities, and diminishing financial support heighten risks of margin compression, negative cash flow, and constraints on shareholder returns.
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US$14.00
FV
28.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.58%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Cushman & Wakefield
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Remote Work And ESG Risks Will Undercut Office Leasing Prospects
Key Takeaways Rising remote work and stricter sustainability rules threaten core revenue streams and could lead to long-term declines in fee income and transaction volume. Advanced technology adoption and high office market exposure risk eroding client relationships, compressing fees, and increasing volatility in earnings.
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US$11.00
FV
35.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.66%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
LCI Industries
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Shifting US Demographics And Tech Disruptions Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Generational shifts and evolving travel preferences are set to weaken primary RV demand, challenging LCI's core business and future revenue prospects. Cost pressures, supply chain risks, and increased competition threaten profit margins, pricing power, and the long-term relevance of LCI's traditional product offerings.
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US$85.00
FV
23.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Iridium Communications
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Rising LEO Competition And Regulatory Hurdles Will Stunt Prospects
Key Takeaways Competitive and regulatory pressures, combined with reliance on government contracts, threaten revenue stability and could reduce margins while delaying expansion. Falling equipment sales and capital demands for upgrading satellites create risks of stalled growth, cash flow pressures, and potential stranded assets amid rapid industry shifts.
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US$25.00
FV
0.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.96%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
BlackLine
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
SAP, Oracle, Microsoft Will Crush Standalone SaaS Market
Key Takeaways Intensifying competition from ERP-native solutions and market consolidation threatens BlackLine's growth prospects, market relevance, and customer retention. Rising compliance and cybersecurity costs, along with higher acquisition expenses, may compress margins and weaken the company's earnings growth trajectory.
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US$48.00
FV
4.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.52%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
ICF International
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Automation And Political Risks Will Erode Traditional Advisory Strength
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on government contracts and traditional consulting exposes ICF to revenue instability and limits its ability to adapt as technology and client needs evolve. Rising automation, digital competitors, and high costs challenge ICF's market position, restricting diversification, compressing margins, and weakening long-term earnings growth.
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US$88.00
FV
11.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-2.86%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Century Communities
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Rising Housing Costs And Aging Trends Will Compress Margins
Key Takeaways Shrinking buyer pool and persistent margin pressures from incentives threaten revenue growth and profitability, despite cost controls. Demographic challenges and exposure to volatile markets create long-term demand risk and increased earnings volatility.
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US$49.00
FV
33.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
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