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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
43
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
44.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
17
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
50
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
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Fisher & Paykel Healthcare
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Aging Demographics And Product Upgrades Will Expand Respiratory Care
Key Takeaways Product innovation, expansion in hospital and homecare, and operational efficiency are strengthening revenue growth, margin improvement, and pricing power. Global demographic trends and rising healthcare investment are broadening market opportunities and diversifying recurring revenue streams.
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NZ$35.52
FV
3.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Bank of the Philippine Islands
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Digital Onboarding And Sustainable Finance Will Expand Inclusion
Key Takeaways Digital expansion and agency banking outreach are driving financial inclusion, deposit growth, and operational efficiency, enhancing BPI's long-term growth and profitability prospects. Diversification into wealth management, insurance, and sustainable finance strengthens fee-based income and positions BPI for stable, recurring earnings beyond traditional lending.
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₱159.82
FV
24.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.29%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
86
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Mirae Asset Securities
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Overseas Expansion Will Increase Regulatory And Digital Risks
Key Takeaways Rapid global expansion and exposure to digital-first competition heighten risks of underperformance, capital erosion, and sustained margin pressure for Mirae Asset Securities. Digital disruption, passive investing trends, and reliance on volatile trading income threaten future profitability and force costly technological reinvestment amid margin compression.
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₩10.50k
FV
81.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-49.09%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
TransAlta
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Oversupplied Energy Markets And Regulatory Hurdles Will Depress Valuations
Key Takeaways Regulatory and policy instability, plus oversupplied markets, pose significant risks to earnings stability and revenue from core assets. Heavy dependence on legacy assets and increased competition in renewables threaten project returns, revenue growth, and balance sheet strength.
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CA$13.50
FV
25.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-7.34%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
HMC Capital
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
ESG Pressures And Competition Will Hamper Expansion Yet Enable Recovery
Key Takeaways Heightened competition, regulatory demands, and operational complexity could constrain HMC Capital's growth, scalability, and margins despite favorable market trends. Heavy reliance on fund launches and acquisitions increases risk to sustainable growth, especially if market dynamics or deal integration issues arise.
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AU$4.20
FV
12.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
27.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
JCDecaux
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Digital Migration And Regulation Will Crush Out-Of-Home Revenues
Key Takeaways Migration to digital advertising and regulatory restrictions threaten revenue and margin growth by reducing demand and limiting expansion of physical inventory. High fixed costs and intensifying digital competition increase risk of margin compression and earnings instability as media budgets shift away from out-of-home offerings.
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€15.60
FV
2.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.31%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tata Chemicals
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Excess Capacity In China And India Will Hurt Margins
Key Takeaways Overreliance on commoditized chemicals and aggressive capacity expansions expose Tata Chemicals to margin pressure, volatile earnings, and potential underutilized assets. Rising regulatory and environmental costs, combined with shifting demand toward greener alternatives, threaten the long-term viability and profitability of its core business.
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₹675.00
FV
48.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Johnson Matthey
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Automotive Electrification Will Shrink Clean Air Business Margins
Key Takeaways Retreat from battery materials and key divestitures narrows growth opportunities, increasing reliance on declining markets vulnerable to structural changes. Heightened competition, regulatory pressure, and volatile precious metals pricing threaten margins, earnings stability, and long-term cash flow consistency.
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UK£13.95
FV
26.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-45.01%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Aroundtown
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Weakening Office Demand Will Shrink Margins Despite Green Transitions
Key Takeaways Weakened office demand, demographic shifts, and stricter environmental rules threaten revenue growth, property values, and increase pressure on profit margins. Substantial capital needs for compliance, refinancing risk, and required modernization investments are likely to erode cash flow and returns to shareholders.
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€2.00
FV
58.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.34%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
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