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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
64
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
42.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
68
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
38.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Principal Financial Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Market Volatility Will Pressure Fee Revenues While Expense Discipline Will Support Margins
Key Takeaways Persistent market volatility and economic uncertainties may squeeze growth in retirement and asset management, impacting revenue and profitability. Increased competition and pricing pressures could weaken specialty benefits sales, potentially diminishing future premium and fees growth.
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US$67.00
FV
13.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
26 days ago
author updated this narrative
Platinum Investment Management
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Leadership Changes And New Fund Launches Will Attract Future Inflows
Key Takeaways Leadership changes and enhanced investment processes are set to improve the International Fund's performance and increase future revenue inflows. Strategic fund launches and operational efficiencies aim to diversify revenue and strengthen net margins, supporting sustained earnings growth.
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AU$0.54
FV
23.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-15.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
26 days ago
author updated this narrative
Crayon Group Holding
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Focus On Cybersecurity And Cloud Modernization Will Strengthen Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Crayon's focus on international growth and strategic renewals in public sector deals is expected to boost revenue despite initial low margins. Emphasis on CSP business integration and high-growth areas like cybersecurity could enhance revenue, margins, and earnings through strategic partnerships and service expansions.
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NOK 133.67
FV
7.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
26 days ago
author updated this narrative
Fortnox
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Payments And Financial Services Will Expand Platform Engagement
Key Takeaways Fortnox's focus on increasing usage among existing customers could drive higher revenue growth through improved ARPC and expanded financial services. Strong EBIT margin performance and cost management may sustain high margins and earnings growth as Fortnox's financial segment and customer base expand.
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SEK 79.53
FV
12.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
20.10%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
19
users have followed this narrative
26 days ago
author updated this narrative
N2IU
Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
VivoCity Upgrades And Debt Reduction Will Face Market Risks Ahead
Key Takeaways The divestment and debt reduction efforts improve balance sheet strength, potentially reducing interest expenses and enhancing net margins. Strategic asset enhancements and tenant shifts increase potential for higher occupancy, rental income growth, and revenue stability.
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S$1.41
FV
6.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
26 days ago
author updated this narrative
Axiata Group Berhad
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 22 Analysts
Monetization Of Digital Assets Like Link Net Will Unlock Value For Future Investments
Key Takeaways Market consolidation in Indonesia and improved operational excellence are expected to boost revenues and enhance margin growth. Debt reduction strategy and digital asset monetization could improve financial health and benefit shareholder returns.
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RM 2.64
FV
0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.43%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
26 days ago
author updated this narrative
Storebrand
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Aggressive Share Buybacks May Jeopardize Future Earnings In Nordic Pension Market
Key Takeaways Storebrand's Nordic presence and strategic focus on pensions and asset management drive revenue growth and market share expansion. Digital investments and sustainability commitment potentially boost customer satisfaction, efficiency, and revenue, while share buybacks ensure shareholder returns amidst future earnings leverage risks.
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NOK 55.86
FV
165.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-48.12%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
26 days ago
author updated this narrative
Strathcona Resources
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Consolidated Oil Sands Operations Will Deliver Synergies But Face Risks
Key Takeaways Strategic consolidation and asset acquisition enhance operational synergies, cost efficiencies, and revenue stability through greater scale and improved resource quality. Expanded infrastructure and disciplined financial management support higher realized pricing, margin improvements, and long-term investment capacity.
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CA$34.80
FV
5.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.76%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
26 days ago
author updated this narrative
Covenant Logistics Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Specialized Segments And Efficiency Will Expand Market Opportunities
Key Takeaways Strategic focus on specialized, higher-margin contracts and operational efficiency enhancements are expected to drive revenue growth and improve net margins. Disciplined capital allocation, including share repurchases and M&A, aims to boost shareholder value and support earnings per share growth.
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US$31.41
FV
25.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.78%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
26 days ago
author updated this narrative
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