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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
23.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
41
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
23.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
4.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
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Box
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Competition From Microsoft 365 And Google Workspace Will Crush Margins
Key Takeaways Intense competition from integrated productivity suites and commoditized storage pressures Box's pricing power, margins, and customer retention. Regulatory barriers and lack of clear product differentiation hinder Box's global growth and make revenue increasingly volatile and unpredictable.
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US$24.00
FV
31.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.34%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Caterpillar
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
Rising Tariffs And Decarbonization Will Crimp Long-Term Margins
Key Takeaways Trade protectionism and rising compliance costs threaten Caterpillar's margins, while evolving industry dynamics accelerate price competition and commoditization. Shrinking demand for traditional equipment, due to decarbonization and sluggish infrastructure spending, limits growth in Caterpillar's core markets.
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US$342.00
FV
19.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Netflix
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 40 Analysts
Escalating Content Costs And Regulatory Burdens Will Weigh On Margins
Key Takeaways Escalating content costs and competition threaten profit margins, while regulatory and operational pressures are set to further erode Netflix's long-term earnings potential. Slowing subscriber growth and rising consumer price sensitivity, amid fierce competition and alternative entertainment, increase churn risk and undermine future revenue expansion.
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US$984.24
FV
25.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tesla
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 40 Analysts
Fading EV Credits And Tariff Pressures Will Diminish Prospects
Key Takeaways Waning policy incentives, rising costs from tariffs, and regulatory hurdles threaten sales, margins, and international growth for both Tesla's vehicle and energy divisions. Intensifying competition and commoditization in EV and autonomous tech, alongside slow ramp in new products, risk eroding Tesla's industry leadership and future profitability.
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US$115.00
FV
187.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
NVIDIA
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 56 Analysts
Data Center, Automotive And Blackwell Sectors Will Shape Future Success
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on the U.S. market for data center tech poses risks to international revenue growth due to potential regulatory changes. NVIDIA's automotive and gaming sectors face growth challenges, impacting revenue projections and highlighting supply and geopolitical constraints.
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US$131.46
FV
37.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
20.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
40
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Alkermes
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Neuropsychiatric Treatments Will Face Regulatory Setbacks Yet Yield Progress
Key Takeaways Reliance on a narrow product range and increased drug pricing pressures threaten long-term revenue stability and profitability. High R&D spending and market competition may limit successful commercialization and margin expansion despite innovative clinical pipeline advances.
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US$30.00
FV
3.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-4.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Oscar Health
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Rising Medical Losses And Regulatory Risks Will Erode Future Margins
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on the ACA individual market and cost-saving technology exposes Oscar Health to revenue pressure from regulatory, competitive, and policy risks. Persistent medical cost increases and industry consolidation threaten profitability, market share, and the company's long-term earnings outlook.
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US$8.00
FV
95.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.76%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Shake Shack
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
Rising Regulation And Volatile Costs Will Erode Fast Casual Value
Key Takeaways Shifting consumer preferences, regulatory pressure, and rising input costs threaten Shake Shack's growth prospects and margin stability. Labor market challenges and increased competition may limit innovation effectiveness and erode long-term market share.
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US$110.00
FV
2.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Valaris
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Growing Renewables Shift Will Erode Offshore Drilling Margins
Key Takeaways Intensifying renewable energy trends and evolving regulations threaten Valaris' market size, revenue growth, and profit margins in the offshore oil and gas sector. High reliance on a few large clients and rising competition increase earnings volatility and reduce future pricing power for Valaris.
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US$38.00
FV
19.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-0.74%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
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