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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
66
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Newgen Software Technologies
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Cloud Adoption And AI Will Drive Digital Transformation
Key Takeaways Rapid AI adoption and embedded innovation are igniting demand and project expansion, potentially driving nonlinear revenue and margin acceleration beyond analyst expectations. Expansion into new geographies and industry verticals, combined with a strong SaaS and IP-backed portfolio, positions the company for higher structural growth and pricing power.
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₹1.30k
FV
37.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
19.30%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Prestige Estates Projects
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Rising Rates And Soaring Costs Will Suppress India Expansion
Key Takeaways Elevated financial risk from aggressive expansion, leverage, and mounting costs threatens profitability and future earnings sustainability. Challenging market fundamentals, including regulatory shifts, input inflation, and slowing urban growth, restrict expansion options and compress margins.
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₹1.35k
FV
18.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
20.02%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
A042
Hanwha Ocean
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Mounting Debt And Fierce Competition Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Rising debt levels, mounting compliance costs, and fierce Asian competition threaten long-term profitability, pricing power, and the ability to invest in innovation. Reliance on conventional shipbuilding, slow adoption of green technologies, and uncertain defense contracts heighten risks of technological and revenue stagnation.
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₩56.00k
FV
103.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Japan Post Insurance
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Aging Demographics And Fintech Rivalry Will Shrink Market Potential
Key Takeaways Shrinking demographics, low interest rates, and scandals weigh on growth prospects, reduce revenue potential, and challenge profitability and customer trust. Increased digital competition and reliance on legacy channels force costly transformation, threatening market share and squeezing long-term margins.
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JP¥2.87k
FV
35.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.48%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
IHI
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Rising Regulatory And Geopolitical Pressures Will Crush Margins
Key Takeaways Government cost controls, regulatory pressures, and global trade disruptions threaten IHI's revenue growth, pricing power, and margins across core business segments. Reliance on mature products, increased competition, and mounting compliance costs are likely to limit organic growth and compress long-term profitability.
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JP¥7.95k
FV
112.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.53%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Oberoi Realty
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 24 Analysts
Mumbai Dependence And Urban Shifts Will Expose Vulnerabilities
Key Takeaways Structural shifts in residential demand, regional concentration, and execution risks threaten long-term revenue growth and earnings quality. Intensifying competition and macroeconomic pressures could erode pricing power, compress margins, and drive volatility in performance.
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₹1.38k
FV
15.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
21.95%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tyro Payments
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Digital Payments And Embedded Finance Will Expand Markets Despite Risks
Key Takeaways Tyro is set to outpace competitors through integrated payments, digital banking innovation, and first-mover strength in health sector digitalization, expanding its market share and revenue. Embedded finance, open banking, and strategic acquisitions position Tyro for stronger customer retention, multi-product growth, and profitability beyond current market estimates.
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AU$1.65
FV
43.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Tips Music
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Rapid Digitization In India And Global Partnerships Will Transform Streaming
Key Takeaways Strategic shift to premium, hit-driven content and global partnerships is set to accelerate revenue growth and boost margins well beyond current expectations. Leveraging technology and industry dynamics will drive higher monetization per stream and solidify long-term profit growth through stronger market positioning.
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₹818.00
FV
28.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
33.78%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Quilter
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Hybrid Advisory And Digital Platforms Will Meet UK Pension Demand
Key Takeaways Quilter's scale, digital innovation, and advisor productivity are driving sustainable asset growth, operational leverage, and an earnings trajectory above market expectations. Industry dynamics and demographic shifts position Quilter to capture greater market share, improve client retention, and benefit from recurring revenue expansion.
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UK£1.90
FV
12.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-56.59%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
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