Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
After 41 years in the IT industry I've seen just about everything good and bad. The Good - AI will advance civilization by light years compared to the 1970s when mainframes ruled the computing world one batch process at a time.
Catalysts Products or Services that Could Move Sales or Earnings Meaningfully Generative AI (GenAI) : Accenture reported $3 billion in new GenAI bookings in FY'24, including $1 billion in Q4. GenAI revenue was nearly $900 million for the full year, up significantly from FY'23.
Management Summary / Key Takeaways Hub Power Hub Power (Hubco), Pakistan's largest Independent Power Producer, presents an intriguing investment opportunity in the Frontier Markets space. With a current stock price of PKR 106.90 and a Fair Value Estimate of PKR 165.02, there's potential for significant upside.

Key Takeaways Alphabet has challenges in its search business unaccounted for by investors Alphabet’s best bet is to focus on the Cloud, but it’s an uphill battle AI will contribute to revenue growth, but profitability may come later Cloud and AI industries to grow, but analysts may have extrapolated too much Catalysts Company Catalysts AI Moat Lies In Proprietary Data Not Models A leaked Google internal memo outlines some controversial thinking inside the company. The anonymous employee argues that smaller peers are rapidly producing Large Language Models (LLM) models that can yield comparable results to Bard and GPT-4, with the added benefit of being cheaper to produce.

Key Takeaways Well-positioned to benefit from the continued growth of digital payments and the international market Investing heavily in B2B and cross border payments for new revenue growth Has a wide moat, and a large serviceable market, but investor expectations are already high Additionally the Credit Card Competition Act could be a major negative catalyst Risks to my narrative include stronger than expected US consumer, and increased use of Visa network from future Fintech. Catalysts The Benefits of Visa’s Global Reach Visa processes more than $11.6 trillion in gross dollar volume (GDV), made up primarily of digital payments with the remainder being things like ATM withdrawals, B2B transactions, etc.

In 5 years, the company should significantly expand its portfolio of stores in countries other than Poland, open up to new markets, and introduce e-commerce and applications of its brands to new countries. Due to the fact that it has five brands, each targeting a different audience, the company has a wide scope for action and further development, as the brands it has are not in competition with each other, but complement each other perfectly.
GlobalStar or known in the stock market as "GSAT" has been on a flight with their new partnership from the mothership Apple. Apple has announced they will be supporting "GSAT" with over 15 billion American Dollars.
Alphabet’s Q3 2024 results reveal an impressive 15% revenue growth to $88.3 billion, driven by robust ad revenue and a 35% surge in Google Cloud. With strong gains across Search, YouTube, and AI-powered enterprise solutions, Alphabet remains a leader in digital advertising and next-gen tech, pushing margins higher amidst fierce competition.
Key Takeaways Oil supply will remain tight leading to a higher and more volatile oil price. Volatility will favor large well capitalized energy companies.
