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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
42
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
17
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
48
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
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Avanza Bank Holding
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Cloud Migration And Generational Wealth Transfer Will Transform Fintech
Key Takeaways Digital transformation and capital leverage could significantly boost efficiency, margins, and fee-based growth, exceeding current market expectations. Generational wealth shifts and strategic expansion position Avanza to dominate customer acquisition and unlock new, higher-margin revenue streams.
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SEK 405.00
FV
11.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.15%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Lagardere
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Emerging Travel Mobility And Digital Publishing Will Reshape Consumer Experiences
Key Takeaways Early expansion in high-growth travel retail locations and diversification outside France position Lagardère for compound revenue growth and reduced regional exposure. Accelerated digital publishing adoption and major partnerships are set to sharply boost high-margin revenue and group profitability beyond market expectations.
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€36.00
FV
42.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.34%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
ITV
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Digital Streaming And Connected TV Will Overcome Legacy Challenges
Key Takeaways Rapid digital transformation and cost efficiencies are driving stronger margins and accelerating long-term earnings growth beyond initial expectations. Diverse digital and content production capabilities, along with advanced ad tech, position ITV to outperform peers in evolving media and advertising landscapes.
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UK£1.07
FV
23.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.62%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Spectris
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Clean Energy And Life Sciences Will Accelerate Precise Measurement
Key Takeaways Strong integration of recent acquisitions, portfolio transformation, and operational efficiencies position Spectris for accelerated revenue and margin growth ahead of expectations. Strategic focus on automation, innovation, and digital solutions is boosting recurring revenue, resilience, and access to high-growth sectors like life sciences and clean energy.
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UK£40.00
FV
0.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
AB Volvo
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Electric Trucks And Digitalization Will Redefine Heavy Equipment Sectors
Key Takeaways Accelerated electrification, digitalization, and strategic partnerships position Volvo for stronger revenue growth, margin expansion, and increased earnings stability. Portfolio optimization and focus on higher-margin services and aftermarket streams reduce exposure to market cycles and improve overall business quality.
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SEK 299.51
FV
5.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.59%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
52
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Olympus
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
China Policies And Competitive Pressures Will Erode Operating Margins
Key Takeaways Weakness in key markets and macroeconomic pressures threaten revenue and margin stability, especially with ongoing challenges in China and developed economies. Heavy reliance on endoscopy and slow product innovation heighten technology risk, while supply chain and regulatory issues further squeeze profitability.
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JP¥1.88k
FV
3.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.06%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Talanx
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Rising Climate Hazards And Digital Disruption Will Erode Insurer Resilience
Key Takeaways Climate change, low interest rates, and regulatory pressures are likely to erode margins, suppress investment income, and constrain capital allocation flexibility. Reliance on traditional insurance exposes Talanx to digital disruption and growing competition from alternative risk transfer, threatening market share and premium growth.
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€76.00
FV
52.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.63%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Ocado Group
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Modular Automation Will Unlock Vast Potential In Digital Grocery
Key Takeaways Major automation advances and flexible new models lower costs, expand addressable markets, and position Ocado for margin and revenue growth beyond current expectations. Strategic shifts and expiring exclusivity enable access to new global partners, accelerating SaaS, royalty, and recurring revenue streams as automation demand surges.
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UK£4.00
FV
21.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
54.32%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Heidelberg Materials
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Delayed Decarbonization And Rising Costs Will Impair Margins In Europe
Key Takeaways Stricter emissions policies and rising input costs will squeeze margins, increase earnings volatility, and force accelerated spending on decarbonization initiatives. Shifting demand toward greener construction materials and slow progress in innovation threaten revenue growth, market share, and competitive positioning.
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€109.61
FV
81.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
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