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Weekly Picks
MicroStrategy
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
MicroStrategy: Volatile Gamble or Golden Opportunity?
Company Overview MicroStrategy, originally an enterprise analytics software provider, underwent a seismic transformation under the leadership of Michael Saylor. Once competing with industry giants like IBM and Oracle, its core software business faded in relevance long before the company embraced a bold and unconventional strategy: Bitcoin acquisition.
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US$663.00
FV
35.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
49.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
29
users have liked this narrative
15
users have commented on this narrative
172
users have followed this narrative
15 days ago
author updated this narrative
Bath & Body Works
ZW
Zwfis
Community Contributor
Emerging Markets and Debt Reduction Will Propel Bath & Body Works Forward
Bath and Body Works is an interesting company to try and project for since it has so many irregular attributes that make it trickier to predict future growth because of. The biggest reason it becomes hard to value is because of the spin off from L brands back in 2021 when Bath and Body works and Victoria Secret went ahead in becoming two separate companies.
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US$40.73
FV
18.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
19
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
QuantumScape
DA
davidlsander
Community Contributor
An amazing opportunity to potentially get a 100 bagger
QuantumScape: From Ambitious Science to the Cusp of a Battery Revolution Links to my detailed research videos https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTxyzjHIS6phTvuEN20Iv5uA1g9qLcmc5 QuantumScape (QS) , a company that for years was often dismissed as a mere "science project" by skeptics, has definitively transformed into a formidable business on the verge of real-world impact1.... Having chosen the "Hard Path" to tackle fundamental battery challenges, QuantumScape's journey, spanning over a decade and fueled by approximately $1.5 billion in funding (with roughly $300 million strategically deployed to date), is now poised for commercial success3....
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US$10.00
FV
38.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
13
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
55
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
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a2 Milk
ME
Meistro
Community Contributor
Slow growth recovery
Summary The a2 Milk Company has experienced significant ups and downs over the past five years. After rapid growth, the company faced challenges starting in 2021 due to disruptions in the Chinese market, leading to a substantial drop in revenue and profits.
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AU$6.75
FV
16.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
7.37%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
Arm Holdings
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Patent Expirations And Competition May Limit ARM’s Market Share
Key Takeaways ARM is a leader with a saturated number of customers limiting future growth. It’s in a highly competitive landscape and needs to innovate beyond patent expirations in the 2030s.
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US$39.16
FV
299.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
16.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
12
users have liked this narrative
12
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
PolyPeptide Group
PK
PKU
Community Contributor
Biotech longerterm bet
211011 Draupnir noch ein Anteil von rund 55,5% an Polypeptide. Der «Free Float» an der Börse SIX erhöht sich dadurch gleichzeitig von 40,0 auf rund 44,5%.
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CHF 33.10
FV
32.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
Electrosteel Castings
RO
ronit_2010
Community Contributor
Electrosteel castings Ltd. Future Outlook
Electrosteel castings is the leading Ductile pipes manufacturer with 40% market share and multiple competitive advantages including international accredations, with rising incomes and infra projects, electro should be able maintain healthy order books and above market margins, the company has focused on reducing debt in the last year or so and i believe it should be able to either a) payout to their shareholders i.e dividends ( Unlikely), or b) develop a capacity/portfolio expansion strategy which should further fortify Electro as a leader in the industry. Their focus on increasing exports should allow electro to tap into new markets and expand over the next few years.
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₹312.78
FV
63.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
Coca-Cola
TO
Tokyo
Community Contributor
KO is still a good base investment
My main narrative for KO: Strong brands Well established distribution network (starting from the source (water) over botteling and delivery to selling points) with an "all world" footprint To grow revenue KO now sells also Coffee (Costa) and other beverages over the existing network. The idea is to have the beverage for every daytime, so the offering and with that revenue will still increase To optimize finance (less investments) botteling in several countries is outsourced as a franchise Strong growth in Latin Amerika But: I miss innovations or trend setting Basically they purchase niche players or lower Top5 brands and scale them through their distribution network Or cooperate, in case of Monster beverage I focus also on: ...
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US$62.00
FV
12.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.28%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
Spotify Technology
GN
gns
Community Contributor
It is a strong hold as of now
Catalysts Spotify will add new revenue through ads and audiobooks streams contributing up to 2B new revenue in upcoming 3 years Spotify price increases will increase their subscription revenue by 20% with less than 1 percent loss of subscribers Assumptions Spotify MAU growth rate will slow dowb by 1% YoY for next 4 years as they have reached most of the globe already Spotify will add new revenue streams contribuiting upto 1B new revenue in upcoming 3 years Risks US election and general sentiment with tech stocks might affect the stock Price increases give an edge to apple and amazon music to capture market Are there any industry tailwinds this stock is benefitting or hindered from?
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US$341.20
FV
98.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.37%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
Alphabet
CO
Compounder
Community Contributor
GOOGL Valuation
Looking ahead, I believe Alphabet's net profit margin will likely stabilize in the 20-25% range over the next five years, with potential for modest improvement: Alphabet's core advertising business faces some headwinds from increasing competition and a maturing market, which could pressure margins. However, the company is showing more cost discipline with slowing headcount growth and office space optimization, which should help support profitability 3 7.
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US$165.53
FV
15.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
10.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
20
users have followed this narrative
11 months ago
author updated this narrative
HCI Group
BE
BenFranklin1776
Community Contributor
Has an extreme amount of inside trading.
Jul 11 First quarter dividend of US$0.40 announced Dividend of US$0.40 is the same as last year. Ex-date: 16th August 2024 Payment date: 20th September 2024 Dividend yield will be 1.8%, which is about the same as the industry average.
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US$138.75
FV
3.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
23.40%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
12 months ago
author updated this narrative
QUALCOMM
BE
BenFranklin1776
Community Contributor
The future
Trading at 38.6% below our estimate of its fair value Earnings are forecast to grow 11.14% per year Earnings grew by 1.7% over the past year Pays a reliable dividend of 2.06% Trading at good value compared to peers and industry Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 33.6% RISK ANALYSIS QCOM passed our risk checks.
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US$172.30
FV
8.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.89%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
12 months ago
author updated this narrative
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