Narratives are currently in beta
Renewable Energy in Malaysia and ASEAN Region
Catalysts
1. Samaiden (KLSE: 0223) is an engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning (EPCC) company of solar photovoltaic systems and power plants in Malaysia.
2. A clean energies solution provider, Samaiden is involved in solar photovoltaic systems, biomass and biogas systems, battery energy storage systems (BESS), mini hydro, and waste-to-energy solutions.
3. The Malaysian Budget 2025 is set to nurture the renewable energy sector, with a continuation of funding through 2026, in the amount of RM1 billion, via the Green Technology Financing Scheme. An additional RM300 million from the National Energy Transition Fund is intended to accelerate Malaysia’s energy landscape transformation.
4. On the consumer side, the Net Energy Metering program will continue through June 2025, incentivizing adoption of energy-efficient electrical equipment via e-rebates totalling RM70 million.
Industry Tailwinds
1. Samaiden completed large-scale solar projects in the commercial and industrial sectors
2. Samaiden continues projects such as implementation of solar streetlights, BESS and smart grid technologies
3. A year-over-year order book spillover and prospect pipeline ensure positive growth
Industry Headwinds
1. Supply chain disruptions negatively impact project completion and maintenance of systems.
Financial Metrics-Revenue and EPS
YTD 2024 Revenue- RM227.20 mm
YTD 2024 EPS-RM3.91
Assumptions
Revenue in 5 years will be RM700 mm, given the current trajectory of Samaiden’s growth.
Earnings in 5 years will be RM49 mm, assuming minor negative impacts.
Risks
A reduction of large-scale solar projects by the government will be a negative impact. To hedge this possibility, increasing the regional project book with similar MW requirements. Samaiden’s leadership and team continue to pursue growth within the various renewable energy solution divisions, within Malaysia and the ASEAN region.
Valuation
3-Year Outlook
· Revenue for Samaiden in 3 years will be RM447 mm
· Earnings for Samaiden in 3 years will be RM31 mm
5-Year Outlook
· Revenue for Samaiden in 3 years will be RM700 mm
· Earnings for Samaiden in 3 years will be RM49 mm
10-Year Outlook
· Revenue for Samaiden in 3 years will be RM2,167 mm
· Earnings for Samaiden in 3 years will be RM63mm
How well do narratives help inform your perspective?