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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings — the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes — including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B — now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling — a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$268.43
FV
27.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
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0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
43.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
41.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
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Karat Packaging
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 1 Analyst
Reducing Reliance On China Will Strengthen Supply Chain Resilience
Key Takeaways Diversifying supply sources and utilizing automation enhance Karat Packaging's supply chain resilience, operational efficiency, and net margins. New eco-friendly product demand, distribution expansion, and new sales channels drive revenue growth and earnings potential.
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US$35.00
FV
19.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.94%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Brunswick
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Tariff Risks Will Pressure Margins While Cost Cuts Support Stability
Key Takeaways Significant potential tariff costs and inability to pass them on to consumers could compress net margins, impacting earnings, especially in the Propulsion business. Declines in value segment boat brands and macroeconomic pressures could reduce revenues due to lower production volumes and challenges in entry-level products.
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US$42.00
FV
43.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.47%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Varex Imaging
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Expanding Operations In China And India Will Open New Opportunities In Medical And Industrial Markets
Key Takeaways Improved demand in China and expansion into cargo inspection are driving growth in Medical and Industrial segments. Strategic investments and production in India enhance future revenue and operational efficiency, supporting long-term scalability.
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US$16.60
FV
52.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.12%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
United Fire Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Investments In Technology And Effective Risk Management Will Streamline Operations And Stabilize Future Earnings
Key Takeaways Record premiums and improved underwriting profitability indicate strong revenue growth and enhanced operational efficiency, likely leading to better net margins and earnings. Investments in talent, new systems, and strategic reinsurance changes are expected to streamline operations, stabilize earnings, and improve future net margins.
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US$30.00
FV
10.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Hexcel
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Supply Chain Delays Will Challenge Airbus Production But Open Opportunities
Key Takeaways Hexcel's revenue and profitability are under pressure due to supply chain delays and reduced operating leverage in aerospace production. Tariff uncertainties and delayed aircraft production rates may impact Hexcel's cost structure and financial recovery.
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US$52.00
FV
18.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.54%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Franklin Covey
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
North America Enterprise Expansion Will Capture Opportunities And Face Risks
Key Takeaways Strategic contract renewals and expanded investments in content and tech are boosting client retention, revenue, and net margins positively. Strong demand in Education and cost management enhancements are driving revenue growth and improving profitability through increased EBITDA.
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US$33.00
FV
38.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.51%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Organon
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Biosimilar Challenges Will Erode Margins While Restructuring Will Provide Relief
Key Takeaways Ongoing pricing pressures, patent cliffs, and government cost containment threaten revenue growth and long-term earnings, especially in mature and Asian markets. Dependence on key products, high leverage from restructuring, and aggressive biosimilar competition may constrain innovation, margin expansion, and strategic investment.
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US$10.00
FV
0.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-0.57%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Whirlpool
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Tariffs And Asian Imports Will Restrict But Encourage Domestic Opportunities
Key Takeaways Increased imports from Asian competitors and tariff pressures may suppress US sales and reduce net margins. Currency shifts and product portfolio overhauls could constrain earnings, introducing volatility in revenue and forward earnings growth.
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US$65.00
FV
50.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.37%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
AeroVironment
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Rising Regulation And Export Limits Will Shrink Drone Markets
Key Takeaways Shifting government budgets and increased regulation threaten future demand, market access, and revenue diversification for AeroVironment. Rising competition, technology risks, and dependency on a few contracts could erode margins and make earnings highly unpredictable.
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US$157.27
FV
72.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
45.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
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