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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
19
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
57
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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JBT Marel
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Rising Cost Pressures And Integration Woes Will Drain Margins
Key Takeaways Geopolitical, regulatory, and sustainability pressures are driving up costs and tightening margins, limiting scalability and profitability across key products and markets. Structural demand shifts to alternative proteins and merger integration issues threaten long-term revenue growth and expose earnings to ongoing risk.
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US$85.00
FV
56.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
27.33%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
JK Lakshmi Cement
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Rising Regulations And Input Costs Will Erode Portland Cement Margins
Key Takeaways Growing carbon regulations and shifting customer preferences toward low-carbon materials threaten profitability and demand for traditional cement products. Project delays, cost pressures, and geographic concentration increase risks to earnings stability and constrain long-term margin growth.
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₹687.55
FV
41.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.86%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Seplat Energy
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Global Renewables Shift Will Force Oil Writedowns
Key Takeaways High dependence on Nigerian assets heightens exposure to local risks, leading to earnings instability and unpredictable cash flow. Global energy transition and tightening climate policies threaten long-term profitability, raising funding costs and risking asset write-downs.
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UK£1.91
FV
36.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
16.52%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
HusCompagniet
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Rising Costs Will Strain Housing But Efficiency Will Emerge
Key Takeaways Persistently high costs, demographic risks, and limited geographic diversification threaten HusCompagniet's revenue growth and long-term earnings stability. Efficiency initiatives may be offset by rising regulatory, energy, and labor costs, challenging margin expansion and homebuyer affordability.
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DKK 54.00
FV
13.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
20.73%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Shelf Drilling
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
High Costs And Aging Rigs Will Undermine Offshore Earnings
Key Takeaways Structural shifts toward renewables, stricter regulations, and technological advancements threaten demand, margins, and long-term earnings stability. Aging assets, high leverage, and constrained reinvestment capacity increase operational risk and limit strategic flexibility.
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NOK 5.99
FV
46.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-5.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Netmarble
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
Dependence On Licensed Content And Regulatory Hurdles Will Impair Stability
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on licensed IP and history of asset impairments creates revenue instability and risk of further write-offs, threatening long-term earnings. Intensifying global competition and regulatory scrutiny, combined with saturated user growth and rising costs, may pressure profitability and limit future expansion.
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₩32.00k
FV
81.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-3.65%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
Carel Industries
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
F-gas Regulation And Intensifying Competition Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Stricter regulations, shifting industry trends, and increased competition threaten Carel's profitability and relevance as traditional HVACR demand weakens and margins come under pressure. Overdependence on the European market and exposure to macroeconomic volatility heighten risks to revenue stability and sustained growth potential.
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€16.90
FV
31.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
H.G. Infra Engineering
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Government Delays Will Constrain Margins But India Will Drive Resilience
Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on government projects and land acquisition could expose the company to execution delays, regulatory risks, and cash flow uncertainty. Diversification into new sectors may create topline growth opportunities but introduces margin volatility and exposes the business to fresh execution and regulatory risks.
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₹1.29k
FV
20.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
21.33%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
ARB
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Accelerating EV Adoption Will Shrink The 4WD Accessory Market
Key Takeaways Shifts toward electric vehicles, urbanization, and regulatory changes threaten ARB's core market, risking stagnation and greater compliance burdens. Rising operating costs and global competition could erode margins, weaken earnings, and diminish pricing power over time.
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AU$27.00
FV
23.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.64%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
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