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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
48
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
44.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
17
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
55
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
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Chailease Holding
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Digital Disruption And Rising Costs Will Erode Margins
Key Takeaways Rising fintech competition and evolving consumer trends threaten core lending and leasing revenues, challenging Chailease's established market position and long-term growth prospects. Increased geographic, regulatory, and ESG risks could raise costs, pressure margins, and amplify earnings volatility, undermining future profitability and operational resilience.
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NT$106.00
FV
9.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
31.60%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Manappuram Finance
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
India's Digital Revolution And Rising Gold Will Boost Lending
Key Takeaways Aggressive digital expansion and strong rural penetration position Manappuram for sustained revenue growth, margin resilience, and industry-leading cost efficiencies. Bain Capital's investment and expertise are set to accelerate operational leverage, business transformation, and expansion beyond current market expectations.
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₹300.00
FV
15.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.76%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Grifols
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Donor Shortages And Competitive Pressures Will Erode Plasma Demand
Key Takeaways Advances in gene therapies, regulatory tightening, and new competitors threaten Grifols's plasma-derived business, increasing risks to revenue, margins, and market share. Heavy reliance on US plasma collection, persistent donor shortages, and high leverage present ongoing operational, financial, and reputational challenges.
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€9.00
FV
50.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.98%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
eMemory Technology
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Quantum Risks Will Erode Prospects While Edge Demand Will Rise
Key Takeaways Reliance on a narrow product suite and exposure to supply chain risks may limit sustainable growth as competitive and technological pressures intensify. Shifts in customer in-sourcing, rapid technology change, and emerging computing paradigms could threaten long-term relevance, pricing power, and earnings momentum.
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NT$3.00k
FV
32.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
31.59%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Rising Southeast Asian Demand Will Secure A Resilient Energy Future
Key Takeaways Strategic acquisitions and synergistic production hubs ensure long-term growth, higher margins, and industry-leading reserves replacement despite industry constraints. Strong internal funding, government support, and scale position Hibiscus to benefit from energy security priorities and favorable supply agreements.
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RM 2.72
FV
42.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.92%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
SBI Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Tightening Crypto Regulation And Rising Costs Will Erode Fundamentals
Key Takeaways Heavy exposure to crypto and digital assets, combined with tough global regulation, threatens SBI Holdings' profitability and increases earnings volatility. Digital disruption, costly global expansion, and slow legacy segments heighten risks of margin compression and weaker long-term revenue growth.
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JP¥4.13k
FV
36.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Gerdau
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Brazil Import Pressures Will Strain Margins Though Efficiencies Will Improve
Key Takeaways Global infrastructure demand, recycled steel, and energy investments support growth, but import competition and regulatory delays in Brazil could undermine margins and revenue. High CapEx and technology investments boost ESG performance, yet risks from alternative materials, protectionism, and execution shortfalls may challenge future profitability and capital allocation.
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R$17.00
FV
0.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Cool
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Accelerating LNG Shipping Will Capture Asia And Africa Demand
Key Takeaways Robust demand for LNG shipping and asset discipline positions Cool for outsized long-term revenue and earnings growth through premium vessel rates and strategic share repurchases. Structural shifts in global energy and decarbonization trends will underpin sustained vessel utilization, improved margins, and continued market outperformance.
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NOK 116.85
FV
34.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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8 days ago
author updated this narrative
Nanosonics
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Rising Global Health Trends Will Expand Automated Disinfection Markets
Key Takeaways Replacement cycles, service contract shifts, and consumable adoption may drive stronger recurring revenue and margin growth than currently anticipated. Advancements in manufacturing, global compliance trends, and product innovation could enable Nanosonics to outperform expectations in margins, adoption rates, and market positioning.
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AU$5.98
FV
32.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
13.62%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
8 days ago
author updated this narrative
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