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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
66
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Enagás
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Accelerating Decarbonization Will Erode Gas Infrastructure Fundamentals
Key Takeaways Ongoing electrification and stricter EU decarbonization policies threaten Enagás' core gas business and undermine long-term asset utilization and returns. Rising capital requirements, uncertain regulatory frameworks, and sluggish hydrogen market development increase risks of reduced dividends and potential asset write-downs.
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€12.00
FV
10.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-77.88%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
LG Display
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Falling OLED Prices Will Undermine Margins Amid Fierce Competition
Key Takeaways Accelerating commoditization, new competing technologies, and structural overcapacity threaten LG Display's pricing power, market share, and long-term growth. High capital expenditures and persistent industry oversupply are expected to constrain profitability, pressure free cash flow, and hinder returns to shareholders.
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₩7.10k
FV
48.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-7.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Global Health
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Excessive Hospital Expansion In India Will Heighten Risks
Key Takeaways Heavy expansion and capital outlay bring significant execution and utilization risks, which could compress margins and returns if patient demand fails to meet expectations. Growing digital healthcare adoption, tightening regulations, and increased competition threaten traditional hospital models, exerting persistent pressure on revenue growth and profitability.
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₹1.00k
FV
33.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
CCC
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Aggressive Retail Expansion Will Burden Margins Amid Online Shift
Key Takeaways Aggressive physical store expansion exposes CCC to risks from shifting consumer preferences, higher fixed costs, and potential overcapacity as commerce moves online. CCC faces margin pressure from inflation, volatile currencies, increased supplier competition, and rising compliance costs, threatening long-term profitability.
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zł142.39
FV
33.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Bizlink Holding
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
US-China Tariffs And Tech Obsolescence Will Undermine Future Stability
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on hyperscaler, AI growth, and concentrated clients exposes the company to significant revenue and demand volatility risks. Pressure from geopolitical, regulatory, and technology shifts could drive up costs, erode margins, and threaten competitiveness without rapid innovation.
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NT$507.69
FV
67.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.26%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Cosan
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Leverage And Regulation Will Test Valuation Though Renewables Brighten Prospects
Key Takeaways Exposure to policy shifts, commodity cycles, and high leverage increases financial uncertainty and risks to cash flow, margins, and dividend stability. Reliance on asset sales, complex structure, and governance challenges may hinder value creation, strategic flexibility, and capital allocation efficiency.
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R$8.00
FV
27.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
60.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
GDS Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
US China Tensions And Leverage Will Impair Data Center Rollout
Key Takeaways Geopolitical tensions, regulatory barriers, and rapid technological change threaten GDS Holdings' growth, profitability, and access to essential hardware and markets. High leverage, capital demands, and risk of overcapacity in key cities raise financial risk and limit margin and earnings expansion.
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US$28.98
FV
17.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Inmobiliaria Colonial SOCIMI
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
Persisting Risks And Rising Costs Will Depress Rental Yields
Key Takeaways Structural shifts toward remote work and oversupply risk threaten long-term occupancy, rental income, and asset values for Colonial's premium office portfolio. Tightening ESG requirements and rising financing costs compress margins, limit growth investment, and heighten pressure on future earnings and share performance.
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€5.14
FV
11.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-6.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Türkiye Sise Ve Cam Fabrikalari
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Persisting Cost Hikes And Competition Will Weaken Glass Margins
Key Takeaways Rising costs, currency risks, and capital intensity threaten profitability and financial flexibility, despite efforts to improve efficiency and expand exports. Competition from alternative packaging and shifting regulations could erode glass's market share, limiting long-term growth opportunities.
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₺40.00
FV
6.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
29.92%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
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