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Amazon Shipments Will Decline And Automation Will Secure Future Efficiency

Published
06 Aug 24
Updated
04 Oct 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$101.43
15.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
04 Oct
US$86.25
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1Y
-35.2%
7D
2.2%

Author's Valuation

US$101.4315.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on04 Oct 25
Fair value Decreased 1.81%

The analyst price target for United Parcel Service was reduced to approximately $101.43 from $103.30, as analysts cited sustained cost pressures, weaker volume trends, and ongoing macroeconomic and regulatory challenges. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates reflect a broad reassessment of United Parcel Service's outlook as analysts evaluate both the company's near-term challenges and longer-term positioning.

Shared on19 Sep 25
Fair value Decreased 1.05%

Analysts have modestly reduced United Parcel Service’s price target to $103.30 due to immediate volume declines from new import restrictions, persistent cost headwinds, and weak small-business and Amazon volumes, partially offset by longer-term confidence in its core franchise. Analyst Commentary Recent executive orders suspending de minimis access for U.S. imports have caused an immediate fall in shipment volumes, leading to near-term volume and cost pressures.

Shared on04 Aug 25
Fair value Decreased 6.93%

Despite higher consensus revenue growth forecasts, a lower future P/E suggests increased caution around profitability or risk, leading to a reduced fair value estimate for United Parcel Service from $112.17 to $105.73. What's in the News UPS is deploying advanced robotics in warehouse logistics alongside peers (FedEx, Walmart, DHL) to automate tasks like loading/unloading, leveraging AI and sensors to improve efficiency and reduce costs, though challenges with certain package types persist (Wall Street Journal).

Shared on07 May 25
Fair value Decreased 8.92%

Shared on30 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 3.67%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 1.0% to 1.1%.

Shared on23 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 1.04%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.0% to -0.0%.

Shared on16 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 2.59%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on09 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 0.79%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 1.3% to 1.0%.

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 0.18%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on26 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 0.091%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on19 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 0.64%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on10 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 16%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 4.0% to 1.4%.