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Update shared on04 Aug 2025

Fair value Decreased 5.74%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$105.73
18.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
06 Aug
US$86.67
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1Y
-31.1%
7D
2.6%

Despite higher consensus revenue growth forecasts, a lower future P/E suggests increased caution around profitability or risk, leading to a reduced fair value estimate for United Parcel Service from $112.17 to $105.73.


What's in the News


  • UPS is deploying advanced robotics in warehouse logistics alongside peers (FedEx, Walmart, DHL) to automate tasks like loading/unloading, leveraging AI and sensors to improve efficiency and reduce costs, though challenges with certain package types persist (Wall Street Journal).
  • UPS entered a three-year Digital Channel Program Agreement with PeriShip Global, providing access to UPS services and APIs at promotional rates, enhancing logistics for time-sensitive and perishable shipments with features like proactive monitoring and weather tracking (Key Developments).
  • No shares were repurchased in Q2 2025; UPS has completed its previously announced buyback, totaling 24.8 million shares (2.9% of shares outstanding) for $3.67 billion (Key Developments).
  • UPS conducted substantial share buybacks in Q1 2025, repurchasing 8.6 million shares (1.01% of shares outstanding) for $992.1 million as part of its previously announced program (Key Developments).
  • While executing multiple fixed-income offerings in May 2025, UPS added prominent financial institutions including UBS, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley, RBC, TD Securities, U.S. Bancorp, SG Americas, BNP Paribas, BofA Securities, and Wells Fargo as co-lead underwriters (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for United Parcel Service

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen from $112.17 to $105.73.
  • The Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for United Parcel Service has significantly risen from 0.7% per annum to 1.5% per annum.
  • The Future P/E for United Parcel Service has fallen from 16.21x to 15.08x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.