Loading...

The Logistics Leviathan: Why Uber’s $118 Fair Value Proves the Platform is Just Warming Up

Published
30 Jan 26
Views
1
n/a
n/a
unknown's Fair Value
n/a
Loading
1Y
-10.3%
7D
2.5%

Author's Valuation

US$118.4538.6% undervalued intrinsic discount

unknown's Fair Value

Uber’s 2026 narrative is the story of a company that evolved from a "taxi disruptor" into the undisputed operating system for urban movement. After years of burning cash, Uber has reached a state of "High-Velocity Profitability," where every ride and every meal delivered feeds into a massive data flywheel that is now powering autonomous fleet partnerships. By 2026, the company’s "Super App" strategy has solidified, turning casual users into subscription-based loyalists who rely on Uber for everything from transit to freight. This shift has unlocked a level of free cash flow—projected at $7.2 billion—that finally justifies its role as a core tech heavyweight.

The "Boss" Perspective: While the stock is currently trading near $94, my custom DCF model suggests an intrinsic value of $118.45. The market is still pricing in a "Regulatory Discount" due to ongoing labor debates, but Uber’s massive $10B+ cash cushion and its move into high-margin advertising (now a multibillion-dollar business) provide a significant safety net. For the long-term investor, Uber is no longer a speculative bet; it is a cash-flow machine that is currently being sold at a 20% discount to its 2030 potential.

Have other thoughts on Uber Technologies?

Create your own narrative on this stock, and estimate its Fair Value using our Valuator tool.

Create Narrative

How well do narratives help inform your perspective?

Disclaimer

The user unknown holds no position in NYSE:UBER. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

Read more narratives

US$83.18
FV
12.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
10.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
51
users have viewed this narrative
1users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
5users have followed this narrative
US$83.63
FV
13.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
10.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
222
users have viewed this narrative
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
3users have followed this narrative
US$137.49
FV
47.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
17.94%
Revenue growth p.a.
13
users have viewed this narrative
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
1users have followed this narrative