Initial Screen Results:
- Revenue Growth: Q1 2025: $11.53B (+14% YoY), strong momentum continuing
- Profitability: Achieved sustainable profitability with $1.78B net income vs -$654M loss year ago
- Cash Generation: Exceptional FCF of $6.9B in 2024, $2.3B in Q1 2025
- Balance Sheet: Cash $7.0B, Debt $9.5B, D/E ratio 42.3% (manageable)
Methodology: Future Earnings/P-E Projection (growth stock)
- 2030 Revenue Projection: $65-70B
- 2030 EBITDA: $14-15B (22% margin with autonomous vehicle benefits)
- Fair Value Range: $90-135B market cap
- Current Market Cap: $192B (significantly overvalued)
- Target Entry Price: $65-75 per share (vs current ~$95)
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Disclaimer
The user YasserSakuragi holds no position in NYSE:UBER. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
