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YasserSakuragi
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Uber Technologies
YA
YasserSakuragi
Community Contributor
Excellent business fundamentals. However, current valuation offers no margin of safety at 40%+ premium to intrinsic value.
Initial Screen Results: Revenue Growth: Q1 2025: $11.53B (+14% YoY), strong momentum continuing Profitability: Achieved sustainable profitability with $1.78B net income vs -$654M loss year ago Cash Generation: Exceptional FCF of $6.9B in 2024, $2.3B in Q1 2025 Balance Sheet: Cash $7.0B, Debt $9.5B, D/E ratio 42.3% (manageable) Methodology: Future Earnings/P-E Projection (growth stock) 2030 Revenue Projection: $65-70B 2030 EBITDA: $14-15B (22% margin with autonomous vehicle benefits) Fair Value Range: $90-135B market cap Current Market Cap: $192B (significantly overvalued) Target Entry Price: $65-75 per share (vs current ~$95)
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US$75.00
FV
19.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
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about 2 months ago
author updated this narrative