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Published
01 Jun 25
Updated
29 Jul 26
Views
78
Not Invested
FedExFDX
FDX logo
Fair Value
US$227.22
Share price29 Jul
US$316.5439.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y40.47%
7D-5.79%

Digitalization And Rising Costs Will Undermine Future Viability

AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
01 Jun 25
Updated
29 Jul 26
Views
78
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$227.22
Share priceUS$316.54
39.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates5

Shared on 29 Jul 26

Fair value Increased 2.53%

FDX: Freight Spin And Calendar Shift Will Obscure Network 2.0 Progress

FedEx is splitting off its freight business and changing how it reports results, which could make the next few quarters harder to read even as it pushes ahead with big network changes. Investors may see mixed headlines and wider disagreement on what the stock is really worth until the new setup starts showing clearer progress.
Read more
4 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 01 Jul 26

Fair value Increased 28%

FDX: Freight Spin And Calendar Shift Will Pressure Network 2.0 Execution

FedEx has just split off its freight arm and changed how it reports results, and some analysts worry the transition could make it harder to deliver on its plan to combine parts of the network and cut costs. Others see the leaner, parcel-focused business and continued buybacks and dividends as reasons the stock could hold up—but only if execution stays on track.
Read more
5 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 17 Jun 26

Fair value Decreased 28%

FDX: Freight Spin And Calendar Shift Will Keep Margins Under Pressure

FedEx is splitting off its freight business and changing how it reports results, and some analysts think that could keep profits under pressure and make the numbers harder to compare for a while. Others see cost-cutting and operational changes as a tailwind, but the debate now centers on whether management can deliver smoother service and better results in the new setup.
Read more
3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 03 Jun 26

Fair value Increased 2.93%

FDX: Freight Spin Separation And Calendar Shift Will Pressure Future Returns

FedEx splits off its Freight business and changes how it reports results, and investors are still figuring out what the slimmer company and the new Freight stock can deliver on their own. Some analysts like the clearer focus and cost-cutting progress, while others warn the transition could bring messy early results and more uncertainty around future earnings.
Read more
7 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 06 Jan 26

Fair value Increased 13%

FDX: Freight Recovery And Cost Risks Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for FedEx to US$233.77 from US$206.04, citing higher long term P/E assumptions and ongoing cost cutting efforts, partly offset by more cautious views on revenue growth, margins, and freight segment risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on FedEx reflects a mixed backdrop, with some firms lifting price targets while others flagging risks tied to freight, execution, and earnings visibility.
Read more
10 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$227.22
vs US$316.5439.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture096b2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$95.6bEarnings US$5.2b
0.3%
Revenue growth
5.4%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

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Company analysis

Excellent balance sheet established dividend payer.

Market capUS$76.9b
PB2.4x
Estimated Growth1.8%
Dividend Yield1.8%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Rajesh Subramaniam
CEO
2.3yrs
CEO Tenure

Provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally.

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