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Published
06 Aug 24
Updated
04 Aug 26
Views
1.1k
Not Invested
CSXCSX
CSX logo
Fair Value
US$52.85
Share price04 Aug
US$48.77.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
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1Y51.29%
7D-5.46%

CSX: Operational Momentum And Leadership Changes Will Shape Railroad’s M&A Prospects

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget

Analyst Consensus Target compiles analysts opinions to create narratives on stocks using the Analysts Consensus Price Target, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
06 Aug 24
Updated
04 Aug 26
Views
1.1k
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$52.85
Share priceUS$48.7
7.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates29

Shared on 04 Aug 26

Fair value Increased 12%

CSX: Record Q2 Execution And Buybacks Will Support Rail Efficiency Story

CSX is coming off a standout quarter, and analysts now see more room for the company’s efficiency push and freight growth to keep paying off. The bigger question is whether stronger demand and pricing can last as volumes rise and service performance gets tested.
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15 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 07 Jul 26

Fair value Increased 2.26%

CSX: Buyback Support And Rail Efficiency Gains Will Temper Valuation Concerns

CSX gets a small boost in analysts’ views as stronger freight demand and efficiency gains start to show up, while a large new share buyback adds extra support for shareholders. But some firms still worry the stock already reflects a lot of the good news, and want to see more proof the improvements will stick.
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10 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 23 Jun 26

Fair value Increased 0.79%

CSX: Buyback And Efficiency Plans Will Balance Stronger Volumes With Execution Risks

CSX is seeing stronger shipping demand and has approved a major share buyback, which supporters think could lift results if the company keeps executing. But some analysts warn the stock may already be pricing in much of the improvement, and any stumble in operations or a weaker economy could undercut the upside.
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13 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 05 Jun 26

Fair value Increased 0.75%

CSX: Buyback And Efficiency Plans Will Support Balanced Rail Cycle Outlook

CSX leans on a newly approved share repurchase plan and a push to run the railroad more efficiently, as analysts debate how much upside is left after the stock’s strong run. The latest notes highlight improving freight demand and new cross-border service, but also flag legal and execution risks that could quickly change the outlook.
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12 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 03 May 26

Fair value Increased 8.17%

CSX: Heavy Rail Assets And Locomotive Upgrades Will Support Balanced Freight Cycle Outlook

CSX's fair value estimate has been lifted by about $3.44 to $45.54, as analysts adjust price targets higher on the back of updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, despite some recent downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms lifting price targets while others trim estimates or move to more neutral stances.
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13 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 18 Apr 26

Fair value Increased 2.33%

CSX: Heavy Rail Assets And Upgrades Will Support Freight Cycle Recovery Potential

CSX's updated analyst price target edges higher to $42.10 from $41.15, reflecting analysts' recent mix of target increases and a few downgrades as they factor in slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher future P/E, and ongoing sector level reassessments across transportation and rail names. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX reflects a split view, with several firms lifting price targets while a smaller group trims expectations or ratings.
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8 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 02 Apr 26

Fair value Increased 0.82%

CSX: Heavy Rail Assets And Locomotive Upgrades Will Offset Volume And Cycle Risks

The updated analyst price target for CSX has shifted modestly higher to reflect a new fair value estimate of $41.15. This is supported by recent Street research that points to steady revisions in discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins, and future P/E expectations.
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14 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 18 Mar 26

Fair value Increased 1.24%

CSX: Heavy Asset Rail Franchise Will Balance Volume Softness And Safety Events

CSX's updated analyst price target edges higher by about $0.50 to $40.81. The change reflects slightly adjusted assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E as analysts weigh mixed rail volume trends, ongoing transportation sector updates, and the view that rail networks remain hard to replicate infrastructure assets.
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7 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 04 Mar 26

Fair value Increased 1.15%

CSX: Heavy Asset Rail Recovery Will Balance Trucking Headwinds And Safety Risks

The analyst price target for CSX has been lifted modestly, with the fair value estimate moving from $39.85 to $40.31, as analysts increasingly highlight the company as a core heavy-asset rail exposure in a freight cycle they view as progressing along a recovery path. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX points to a mixed but generally constructive view, with several firms adjusting price targets and framing the stock as a key way to get exposure to rail and broader freight trends.
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10 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 18 Feb 26

CSX: Fair Outlook Weighs New Locomotive Spend Against Rail And Trucking Risks

Narrative Update: CSX Analyst Price Target Reset The CSX analyst price target has been fine tuned, with modest upward and downward $1 moves across several firms. These are offset by a higher $43 target from JPMorgan and a $40 target from TD Cowen, as analysts factor in recent transportation sector research, updated discount rate assumptions and a slightly higher future P/E input.
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31 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 03 Feb 26

Fair value Increased 0.052%

CSX: Fair Outlook Balances Rail Volume Risks And Trucking Headwinds

The analyst price target for CSX has moved slightly higher to about US$39.85, with analysts citing adjusted Q4 estimates, mixed expectations for Eastern rail volumes, and updated P/E assumptions across the transportation group as they recalibrate for what they describe as another year of consistent uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CSX reflects a mix of optimism about the company’s positioning and caution around the broader transportation group, especially as Q4 and early year seasonality play out.
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21 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 20 Jan 26

Fair value Increased 0.74%

CSX: Fair Outlook Balances Higher Freight Uncertainty And Leadership Transition

Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price expectations for CSX higher, with the blended target rising by about $0.29 to just under $40. This reflects modestly updated views on fair value and profitability, even as they flag softer Eastern rail volumes and uneven transport demand ahead.
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19 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 06 Jan 26

CSX: New Leadership And ONECSX Execution Will Shape Rail Network Future

Analysts have nudged the CSX price target higher to around US$41 to US$42 from about US$39 to US$40, citing a recent Q3 beat, one-off restructuring charges, and continued progress on the ONECSX and operational improvement initiatives as key supports for this shift. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of price target revisions for CSX toward the low US$40s after the Q3 report, with analysts pointing to the earnings outcome, one off restructuring charges, and ongoing ONECSX initiatives as key drivers of their views.
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17 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 16 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 0.64%

CSX: New Leadership And Consolidation Optionality Will Shape Rail Network Future

Our CSX fair value estimate has inched higher to approximately $39.54 per share. This reflects analysts modestly higher price targets in the low $40s, driven by solid Q3 execution, improving margins, and rising confidence in both operational initiatives and potential strategic outcomes.
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22 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 02 Dec 25

CSX: New CEO Appointment And Rail Corridor Upgrade Will Drive Future Performance

CSX’s analyst price target has edged higher, with recent updates reflecting upward revisions of $1 to $4 per share. Analysts cited strong quarterly performance, improving operational trends, and growing confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.
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400 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 18 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 0.23%

CSX: Leadership Changes And New Rail Partnership Will Drive Momentum

CSX's analyst price target has edged up to $39.29 from $39.20, as analysts highlight stronger operational execution, improving fundamentals, and increased optimism following recent management and strategic developments. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports reflect a dynamic landscape of analyst opinion regarding CSX, with price targets shifting alongside evolving management strategies and industry developments.
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17 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 03 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 0.30%
The analyst price target for CSX has increased modestly by $0.12 to $39.20. Analysts point to ongoing operational improvements, stronger-than-expected earnings, and increased confidence in the company’s future under new leadership.
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12 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 20 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 1.67%
The analyst price target for CSX has increased from $38.44 to $39.08. This change reflects analysts' growing confidence in the company's improving financial performance, operational progress, and strengthened outlook following recent quarterly results and management changes.
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2 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 05 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 1.37%
Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for CSX to $38.44, citing rising price targets due to signs of improved fundamentals and anticipated M&A opportunities. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reflects a mix of optimism and caution regarding CSX's outlook.
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2 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 08 Sep 25

CSX’s consensus price target has seen a slight downward revision as analysts, tempered by macro uncertainty and neutralizing after a strong rally, weigh mixed implications of the CSX-BNSF intermodal deal—viewed both as a volume opportunity and dampener on merger speculation—resulting in a marginal decrease in fair value from $37.92 to $37.60. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite the new CSX-BNSF intermodal service agreement as months in the making, likely delivering volume benefits and not ruling out potential future M&A activity.
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2 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 16%
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3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.68%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
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1 viewusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 5.15%
AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 2.5% to 3.2%.
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0 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.58%
AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 2.8% to 2.5%.
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5 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.55%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
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3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.86%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
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2 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 0.19%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
Read more
9 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 1.23%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
Read more
5 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 5.35%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
Read more
2 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$52.85
vs US$48.77.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture017b2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$16.9bEarnings US$4.5b
5.2%
Revenue growth
26.4%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

Stay ahead on CSX

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Company analysis

Proven track record average dividend payer.

Market capUS$93.6b
PB6.4x
Estimated Growth4.8%
Dividend Yield1.1%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Stephen Angel
CEO
2.3yrs
CEO Tenure

Provides rail-based freight transportation services in the United States and Canada.

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