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Published
29 Jun 25
Updated
21 May 26
Views
23
Not Invested
Napco Security TechnologiesNSSC
NSSC logo
Fair Value
US$48
Share price21 May
US$35.2426.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
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1Y-8.44%
7D-3.27%

Increasing Compliance Costs And Shifting Demand Will Erode Future Outlook

AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
29 Jun 25
Updated
21 May 26
Views
23
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$48
Share priceUS$35.24
26.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates4

Shared on 21 May 26

NSSC: Cloud Ecosystem Expansion And New Research Update Will Support Future Upside

Napco rolls out more of its cloud-connected security lineup, including new StarLink models and an expanded MVP platform that brings video, access control, and system integration into one place. Analysts lift their target but still warn that the market may be expecting a smooth rollout, and any slip in demand or costs could hurt the upside.
Read more
4 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 07 Apr 26

NSSC: Cloud Ecosystem And Index Inclusion Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have maintained their $48.00 price target for Napco Security Technologies, citing broadly consistent assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the basis for their current view. What's in the News Napco Security Technologies is scheduled to participate in ISC West 2026, presenting its full security portfolio in a 2,500 sq.
Read more
1 viewusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 24 Mar 26

NSSC: Recurring Cloud Services And RMR Focus Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have kept their $48.00 price target on Napco Security Technologies unchanged, citing largely consistent assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiple. What's in the News Napco Security Technologies is scheduled to participate in ISC West 2026, highlighting its "all under one roof" security portfolio across four core brands at a 2,500 sq.
Read more
3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 09 Mar 26

Fair value Increased 33%

NSSC: Higher Margin Outlook And Dividend Policy Will Support Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target on Napco Security Technologies from $36.00 to $48.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth of 9.71%, a profit margin of 25.16% and a future P/E of 33.43 as key drivers behind the higher fair value estimate. What's in the News Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share, a 7% increase from the prior quarter, payable on April 3, 2026 to shareholders of record on March 12, 2026 (Key Developments).
Read more
1 viewusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$48
vs US$35.2426.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture0253m2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$253.4mEarnings US$93.9m
8.7%
Revenue growth
37%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

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Company analysis

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

Market capUS$1.3b
PB6.6x
Estimated Growth8.0%
Dividend Yield1.9%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Kevin Buchel
CEO
2.3yrs
CEO Tenure

Engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally.

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