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Published
01 Jun 25
Updated
19 Aug 26
Views
582
Not Invested
OracleORCL
ORCL logo
Fair Value
US$134.7
Share price19 Aug
US$144.797.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y-52.08%
7D-8.81%

Cloud Commoditization And Regulatory Scrutiny Will Erode Differentiation

AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
01 Jun 25
Updated
19 Aug 26
Views
582
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$134.7
Share priceUS$144.79
7.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates5

Shared on 19 Aug 26

Fair value Decreased 2.11%

ORCL: AI Infrastructure Backlog Will Test Funding Capacity And Margin Resilience

Oracle races to build out AI cloud capacity, but analysts worry the funding plan and heavy spending could squeeze profits and make the stock more sensitive to any change in financing. New partnerships with major tech players and a growing contract backlog support the growth story, yet questions remain about whether the payoff arrives fast enough.
Read more
29 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 05 Aug 26

Fair value Decreased 11%

ORCL: Heavy AI Buildout And Backlog Versus Funding And Margin Pressures

Oracle’s push to build out AI and cloud capacity is drawing both praise for its large backlog and worries about how the spending gets funded and what it does to profits. New contract wins and big partners add confidence for some, but others question whether cloud growth can keep up and whether higher debt and cash strain start to bite.
Read more
49 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 24 Jun 26

ORCL: Heavy AI Buildout And Record Backlog Will Test Balance Sheet

Oracle lands a record wave of AI and cloud commitments, but turning that backlog into real profit may require a huge spending spree and new fundraising. The key question is whether Oracle can scale up fast enough without taking on too much debt or squeezing its profits in the near term.
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58 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 26 May 26

ORCL: Heavy AI Data Center Spending Will Delay Free Cash Flow Recovery

Oracle’s push to build out AI data centers is drawing fresh interest, but it also means spending heavily up front and waiting longer for cash to start flowing back. With analysts split between strong demand signals and worries about funding, margin pressure, and execution, the key question is whether Oracle can turn this AI build-out into steady returns without more bumps along the way.
Read more
48 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 23 Mar 26

Fair value Decreased 20%

ORCL: AI Data Center Spending And Margins Will Shape Cash Generation

Oracle's analyst fair value estimate has moved from about $193.08 to $155.00 as analysts factor in lower profit margin assumptions along with stronger modeled revenue growth and generally supportive post earnings research. Analyst Commentary Street research around Oracle following the fiscal Q3 report reflects a mix of renewed confidence in the business trajectory and recalibration of expectations.
Read more
60 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$134.7
vs US$144.797.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture0154b2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$154.0bEarnings US$35.8b
31.7%
Revenue growth
23.2%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

Stay ahead on Oracle

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Company analysis

Exceptional growth potential, undervalued and pays a dividend.

Market capUS$454.4b
PB7.1x
Estimated Growth25.7%
Dividend Yield1.4%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Michael Sicilia
CEO
1.0yrs
CEO Tenure

Offers products and services that build, run and support enterprise information technology frameworks worldwide.

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