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Published
05 Aug 25
Updated
24 Jun 26
Views
92
Not Invested
SamsaraIOT
IOT logo
Fair Value
US$33.04
Share price24 Jun
US$39.0618.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y10.06%
7D-0.20%

Macroeconomic Pressures Will Slow Progress Yet Spark Resilience

AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
05 Aug 25
Updated
24 Jun 26
Views
92
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$33.04
Share priceUS$39.06
18.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates5

Shared on 24 Jun 26

Fair value Increased 1.45%

IOT: AI Workflow Automation And ARR Strength Will Shape Future Returns

Samsara’s outlook gets a small lift after a strong quarter and higher guidance, with customers still signing on and recurring revenue holding up. But the company keeps spending heavily on growth, and some watchers say expectations are already high—so the next moves may depend on whether new AI-driven products can keep momentum without squeezing profits.
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7 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 14 Apr 26

Fair value Increased 8.57%

IOT: AI Safety Workflow Automation Will Shape Future Returns

The updated analyst price target for Samsara moves to an implied fair value of $32.57 from $30.00, as analysts highlight stronger annualized recurring revenue trends, growing traction with larger enterprise customers, and what they view as a solid position to benefit from AI driven workflow automation across a broad customer base. Analyst Commentary Street research around Samsara reflects a mix of optimism on growth metrics and AI positioning alongside more cautious views on valuation and future execution.
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11 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 02 Mar 26

Fair value Decreased 14%

IOT: AI Safety Tools And Cautious Sector Sentiment Will Shape Returns

Samsara's analyst fair value has shifted from $35.00 to $30.00 as analysts recalibrate price targets and growth assumptions in light of recent sector research and increased focus on which software names are viewed as clearer AI beneficiaries. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Samsara has leaned more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and emphasizing the need to reassess how clearly the company fits into the current AI narrative across software.
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10 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 16 Feb 26

Fair value Decreased 10%

IOT: Higher Revenue Guidance And AI Safety Tools Will Support Upside

The analyst price target for Samsara has shifted from $39 to $35, as analysts balance updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E with recent mixed Street research that includes both lowered targets and a fresh bullish initiation. Analyst Commentary The recent shift in the consensus price target to $35 sits against a backdrop of mixed Street commentary, with several bearish analysts trimming their targets while one major firm has started coverage with a bullish stance.
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7 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 19 Jan 26

Fair value Increased 2.63%

IOT: Higher Revenue Guidance And New Safety Tools Will Support Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Samsara up from US$38.00 to US$39.00, tying this shift to small tweaks in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Samsara issued earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, with expected total revenue of US$421 million to US$423 million and year on year revenue growth of 22% (Corporate guidance).
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5 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$33.04
vs US$39.0618.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-420m3b202020222024202620282029Revenue US$2.9bEarnings US$258.4m
19%
Revenue growth
8.9%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

Stay ahead on Samsara

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  • Narrative and analyst updates
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Company analysis

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

Market capUS$23.8b
PB15.1x
Estimated Growth17.9%
Dividend YieldN/A
Full analysis

CEO & management

Sanjit Biswas
CEO
5.3yrs
CEO Tenure

Provides solutions to connect physical operations data to its connected operations platform in the United States and internationally.

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