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FICO: New Mortgage Direct License Program Will Drive Market Leadership

Published
08 Aug 24
Updated
31 Oct 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-25.4%
7D
4.8%

Author's Valuation

US$2.02k13.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 31 Oct 25

Analysts have raised their price target for Fair Isaac to $2,400 from $2,000. They cited stronger-than-expected revenue growth and optimism about the company’s new mortgage direct license program.

Shared on 17 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 5.39%

Global Cloud Migration And International Partnerships Will Transform Financial Services

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Fair Isaac from $1,913 to $2,017, citing stronger revenue growth and improved profit outlook following recent updates to the company’s business model. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage of Fair Isaac has produced a mix of bullish and bearish views, as analysts assess the impact of the company's updated business model and Mortgage Direct License Program on its growth trajectory and competitive positioning.

Shared on 03 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 2.07%

Global Cloud Migration And International Partnerships Will Transform Financial Services

Fair Isaac's analyst price target has risen from $1,874.70 to $1,913.47. This change reflects improved views on its mortgage licensing business, sustained market leadership, and incremental increases to revenue growth and profit margin expectations, according to analysts.

Shared on 02 Sep 25

Fair value Decreased 0.98%

Global Cloud Migration And International Partnerships Will Transform Financial Services

The consensus price target for Fair Isaac decreased to $1,872 as analysts weighed increased regulatory uncertainty and competitive threats from the FHFA’s move to include VantageScore 4.0, though resilient EPS estimates and a robust business model remain supportive of fair value. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts lowered price targets due to the Federal Housing Finance Agency's decision to allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to use VantageScore 4.0, raising concerns about increased competition and potential erosion of FICO's monopoly.

Shared on 04 Aug 25

Fair value Decreased 11%

Global Cloud Migration And International Partnerships Will Transform Financial Services

The consensus price target for Fair Isaac has been revised downward, primarily reflecting reduced growth expectations and a notable compression in the company's future P/E multiple, resulting in a fair value decrease from $2,123 to $1,924. What's in the News FICO announced the upcoming rollout of FICO® Score 10 BNPL and FICO® Score 10 T BNPL, the first major credit scores to integrate “Buy Now, Pay Later” (BNPL) data, reflecting changing consumer credit behavior and aiming to broaden financial inclusion (Wall Street Journal; FICO Product-Related Announcements).

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 0.81%

Mortgage Simulator And Global Partnerships Will Expand International Markets

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.95%

Mortgage Simulator And Global Partnerships Will Expand International Markets

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 0.39%

Mortgage Simulator And Global Partnerships Will Expand International Markets

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 1.64%

Mortgage Simulator And Global Partnerships Will Expand International Markets

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.29%

Mortgage Simulator And Global Partnerships Will Expand International Markets

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 3.68%

Mortgage Simulator And Global Partnerships Will Expand International Markets

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Mortgage Simulator And Global Partnerships Will Expand International Markets

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Mortgage Simulator And Global Partnerships Will Expand International Markets

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 9.04%

Mortgage Simulator And Global Partnerships Will Expand International Markets

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased future PE multiple from 67.1x to 56.8x.