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AI Trends And Cloud Migration Will Expand Market Reach

Published
26 Jan 25
Updated
27 Aug 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$120.16
25.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
10 Sep
US$89.06
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1Y
20.6%
7D
5.1%

Author's Valuation

US$120.2

25.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on27 Aug 25
Fair value Increased 9.70%

Elastic’s consensus price target saw a modest downgrade to $108.65 as analysts weighed intensifying AI competition and conservative CFO guidance against the company’s AI and subscription growth potential, with shares remaining attractively valued versus software peers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note Elastic is favorably positioned for revenue upside and generative AI optionality, highlighting potential acceleration in key subscription revenue metrics.

Shared on29 Jul 25
Fair value Decreased 16%

Despite a notable improvement in Elastic's profitability, as evidenced by a higher net profit margin and a sharply reduced forward P/E ratio, the consensus analyst price target has been significantly cut from $130.14 to $110.48. What's in the News Issued Q1 FY2026 revenue guidance of $396–$398 million (14% year-over-year growth at midpoint) and FY2026 revenue guidance of $1.655–$1.670 billion (12% year-over-year growth at midpoint).

Shared on07 May 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on30 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 1.72%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on23 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 1.18%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on16 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 1.41%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on09 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 0.73%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 0.083%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on26 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on19 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 3.45%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on10 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 11%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased profit margin from 11.3% to 2.7% and increased future PE multiple from 73.7x to 305.3x.