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Narrative for Atlassian

VI
victorkurauchi
Community Contributor

Published

April 24 2024

Updated

June 25 2024

Narratives are currently in beta

  • They are trying to move all of their customers to Cloud.
  • They're hiring a lot. Their revenue increased, but not their net profit margin
  • They run a heavy SCP
    • Stock compensation is a way corporations use stock or stock options to reward employees in lieu of cash. Stock compensation is often subject to a vesting period before it can be collected and sold by an employee.

Catalysts

  • Are there any products or services that could move sales or earnings meaningfully?
  • Are there any industry tailwinds this stock is benefitting or hindered from?

Assumptions

  • Where do you think revenue will be in 5 years time? and why?
  • Where do you think earnings will be in 5 years time? and why?

Risks

  • Are there any risks that your catalysts won't play out as expected?
  • Are there any regulatory or competitor risks that could change the outcomes above?

Valuation

  • Where do you think the business will be in 3, 5 or 10 years time?
  • What do you think revenue and profit margins will be?
  • What do you think the valuation multiple will be in the future?

How well do narratives help inform your perspective?

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US$345.30
FV
7.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
18.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
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4 days ago author updated this narrative
Fair Value
US$240.6
33.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
victorkurauchi's Fair Value
Future estimation in
PastFuture-1b5b2015201820212024202520272030Revenue US$4.8bEarnings US$719.2m
% p.a.
Decrease
Increase
Current revenue growth rate
15.63%
Software revenue growth rate
0.72%