Geopolitical Tensions And Open-Source Trends Will Erode Recurring Revenue

AN

AnalystLowTarget

Not Invested

Community Contributor

Published

13 Jul 25

Updated

07 May 26

Views

35

07 May

US$148.23

AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value

US$146.00

1.5% overvalued

1Y

-12.2%

7D

4.5%

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1Y

-12.2%

7D

4.5%

You can edit this narrative until May 8 3:12 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$1461.5% overvalued

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

Shared on 07 May 26

Fair value Decreased 7.59%

PTC: Cautious Reset Balances AI Progress With Free Cash Flow Headwinds

Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for PTC by $12 to $146, reflecting lower price targets across several recent research updates, as well as adjusted assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on PTC show a cluster of lower price targets, even as at least one major firm reinstated coverage with a positive rating and a US$180 target after the ThingWorx and Kepware divestiture.

5 views

Shared on 07 Apr 26

PTC: Cautious Reset Will Meet AI Partnerships And Capital Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average PTC price target by around $20 to reflect more cautious revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and updated views on long term profitability and P/E multiples following recent sector wide target cuts and the ThingWorx and Kepware divestiture. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PTC has leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts cutting price targets by double digit dollar amounts and, in at least one case, issuing a downgrade.

3 views

Shared on 23 Feb 26

Fair value Decreased 1.25%

PTC: Cautious Street Reset Will Meet AI Rollout And Capital Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on PTC, reflected in a reduced fair value estimate from $160 to $158, as they revise assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a cluster of bearish moves on PTC, with multiple firms cutting price targets and at least one major bank shifting its rating to a more cautious stance.

3 views

Valuator

Company Info

Notes

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

US$146

1.5% overvalued

Future estimation in

Revenue

Profit Margin

Future PE

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Forecast revenue growth rate

3.43%

Historical revenue growth rate

10.47%

Software revenue growth rate

1.53%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.70%

Calculation

US$697.69m

Earnings '29

x

31.21x

PE Ratio '29

=

US$21.77b

Market Cap '29

US$21.77b

Market Cap '29

/

116.19m

No. shares '29

=

US$187.40

Share Price '29

US$187.40 Share Price '29

Discounted to 2026 @ 8.74% p.a.

=

US$145.77

Fair Value '26