Palantir Technologies

Palantir: Redefining Enterprise Software for the AI Era

BL

Not Invested

Community Contributor

Published

29 Nov 24

Updated

31 Jan 26

Views

4k

n/a

n/a

BlackGoat's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

4.4%

7D

-2.4%

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1Y

4.4%

7D

-2.4%

You can edit this narrative until Feb 1 3:20 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$107.0225.0% overvalued

BlackGoat's Fair Value

Shared on 31 Jan 26

Fair value Decreased 30%

Stepping Aside on Palantir

Palantir still looks like a strong business, but the stock now feels priced for near-perfect outcomes and recent trading momentum looks shaky. The investor steps out for now, expecting the shares to come back down and planning to look for better opportunities elsewhere.

522 views

Shared on 03 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 38%

Palantir keeps winning new business and bringing in more cash, with customers rolling out its AI tools faster in both commercial and government work. But the stock runs far ahead of the business right now, so a sharp dip could be the point where long-term believers get a better entry.

248 views

Shared on 06 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 16%

Palantir keeps landing big wins in both business and government customers, and it’s turning that demand into strong cash generation. The catch is the stock price now assumes almost everything keeps going right, which raises the risk of a sharp drop if growth cools.

2 views

Shared on 18 Jul 25

Fair value Increased 7.22%

Palantir keeps landing major government work and is pushing deeper into everyday business with new partners, showing its software is getting stickier across industries. But excitement around the stock leaves little room for mistakes, and an upcoming earnings report could quickly change the mood if growth doesn’t stay strong.

5 views

Shared on 08 Feb 25

Fair value Increased 67%

BlackGoat has increased profit margin from 30.0% to 40.0% and increased future PE multiple from 60.0x to 70.0x.

1 view

Shared on 19 Dec 24

Fair value Increased 11%

BlackGoat has decreased revenue growth from 40.0% to 35.0% and increased future PE multiple from 45.0x to 60.0x.

0 views

Shared on 02 Dec 24

Fair value Increased 20%

BlackGoat has increased profit margin from 25.0% to 30.0%.

0 views

Valuator

Company Info

Notes

BlackGoat'sFair Value

US$107.02

25.0% overvalued

Future estimation in

Revenue

Profit Margin

Future PE

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Forecast revenue growth rate

29.33%

Historical revenue growth rate

25.80%

Software revenue growth rate

1.68%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.49%

Calculation

US$6.03b

Earnings '31

x

62.00x

PE Ratio '31

=

US$373.89b

Market Cap '31

US$373.89b

Market Cap '31

/

2.50b

No. shares '31

=

US$149.28

Share Price '31

US$149.28 Share Price '31

Discounted to 2026 @ 6.88% p.a.

=

US$107.02

Fair Value '26