Cloud Migration And AI Security Will Reshape Identity Markets

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

26 May 25

Updated

11 Dec 25

Views

418

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

8.8%

7D

3.1%

Loading

1Y

8.8%

7D

3.1%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 12 6:10 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$111.6218.5% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 11 Dec 25

Fair value Decreased 6.04%

OKTA: Future Identity Data Compliance And AI Security Will Drive Performance

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Okta, trimming fair value estimates by about $7 to reflect slightly slower projected revenue growth and a lower future earnings multiple, even as profit margin expectations edge higher. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts note that management's guidance still implies solid mid-teens top-line expansion over the medium term, which supports a premium to slower-growing security peers despite the lower price target.

Shared on 27 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 1.31%

OKTA: Future Performance Will Benefit From Growing Identity Data Compliance Demand

Narrative Update on Okta Analysts have slightly reduced Okta's fair value estimate from $120.37 to $118.80, citing moderated expectations for the company's near-term growth and updated revenue forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the potential for upside in Okta’s remaining performance obligations, suggesting that third quarter growth could reach 13 percent year-over-year if demand outperforms baseline assumptions.

Shared on 27 Sep 25

Fair value Decreased 0.45%

Despite strong Q2 results and improved guidance driven by robust demand and enterprise traction, mixed analyst sentiment—balancing enhanced profitability with caution around long-term growth and valuation—led to a slight reduction in Okta’s consensus price target from $120.92 to $120.37. Analyst Commentary Strong Q2 results with cRPO growth exceeding guidance and upward revisions to full-year revenue outlook, suggesting robust underlying demand and improved execution.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$111.62

18.5% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

8.58%

IT revenue growth rate

0.51%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

9.05%

Calculation

US$423.77m

Earnings '28

x

66.94x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$28.37b

Market Cap '28

US$28.37b

Market Cap '28

/

196.09m

No. shares '28

=

US$144.65

Share Price '28

US$144.65 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 9.04% p.a.

=

US$111.57

Fair Value '25