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NBIS: Winning The $17.4B Microsoft Deal Will Drive Market Outperformance

Published
10 Aug 25
Updated
01 Nov 25
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
461.0%
7D
-0.5%

Author's Valuation

US$156.429.7% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 01 Nov 25

The analyst price target for Nebius Group has seen a substantial increase, with targets now ranging from $125 to $206 following the recent $17.4B Microsoft contract. Analysts cite enhanced revenue prospects and stronger valuation upside driven by the scale of the deal and favorable industry positioning.

Shared on 17 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 2.22%

Nebius Group’s analyst fair value target was increased from $153 to $156.40 per share. Analysts cited substantial new multi-billion dollar contracts and a strengthened growth outlook following the company’s major deal with Microsoft.

Shared on 03 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 57%

Nebius Group’s analyst price target has surged from $97.40 to $153.00 as analysts cite the transformative impact from major new contracts, rapid revenue growth expectations, and increased demand for data center capacity. Analyst Commentary Analyst response to Nebius Group’s recent developments has featured a blend of enthusiasm and caution, with substantial movements in their price targets and recommendations following the announcement of significant new contracts.

Shared on 10 Sep 25

Fair value Increased 8.95%

The consensus analyst price target for Nebius Group has increased to $97.40, reflecting bullish sentiment on the back of a transformative $19.4B hyperscaler contract with Microsoft, stronger-than-expected quarterly results, and accelerated ARR guidance, supporting upward revisions in revenue and growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight the transformative impact of Nebius securing a $19.4B five-year hyperscaler contract with Microsoft, which supports a significant upward revision in future revenue and growth assumptions.

Shared on 18 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 20%

Nebius Group’s consensus price target was raised to $89.40 as analysts cited strong Q2 revenue outperformance, increased management guidance, and a leading position in AI neo-cloud, driving robust growth expectations and improved risk/reward. Analyst Commentary Strong Q2 results with an "apples to apples" revenue beat of approximately $15M (~17%) driven by robust core business performance, even after excluding Toloka.