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Mainstream Bitcoin Adoption

Published
27 Apr 24
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dedhiaa's Fair Value
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1Y
-56.8%
7D
-1.4%

Author's Valuation

US$5k96.5% undervalued intrinsic discount

dedhiaa's Fair Value

Catalysts

  • Bitcoin as the first-class wealth preservation medium
  • Risk-off asset - hedging against macroeconomic tailwinds - e.g. currency debasement, hyperinflation
  • Institutional Bitcoin Adoption
  • Bitcoin Halving
  • Zero-competition in aggregate BTC ownership (1%+)

Assumptions

  • Bitcoin continue to attract greater inflows
  • MSTR continues to purchase bitcoin
  • MSTR continues to innovate in its B2B data intelligence offerings

Risks

  • Restrictive government regulation on Bitcoin or the broader cryptocurrency market.

Valuation

  • With BTC PT of $100,000 by 2024, MSTR circa $2,500
  • With BTC PT of $150,000 by 2026, MSTR circa $4,000
  • With BTC PT of $250,000 by 2028, MSTR circa $7,500

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