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Published
02 Sep 24
Updated
16 Jun 26
Views
10.4k
Not Invested
MicrosoftMSFT
MSFT logo
Fair Value
US$561.39
Share price16 Jun
US$501.0210.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
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1Y-0.81%
7D1.89%

Analyst Commentary Highlights Microsoft AI Momentum and Upward Valuation Amid Growth and Competitive Risks

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget

Analyst Consensus Target compiles analysts opinions to create narratives on stocks using the Analysts Consensus Price Target, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
02 Sep 24
Updated
16 Jun 26
Views
10.4k
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$561.39
Share priceUS$501.02
10.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates27

Shared on 16 Jun 26

Fair value Increased 0.088%

MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Commercial Backlog Will Drive Future Leadership

Microsoft is pouring money into AI capacity while pushing Copilot deeper into everyday work tools, and a huge pipeline of future business suggests customers are leaning in. But some analysts worry the company depends too much on outside AI models and that expectations for AI payoffs may already be set uncomfortably high.
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234 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 01 Jun 26

Fair value Decreased 0.18%

MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Cloud Backlog Will Support Long-Term Leadership

Microsoft pushes deeper into AI with new Copilot moves and more in-house models, but the huge buildout needed to power all this is keeping investors split. A reshaped partnership with OpenAI and growing regulator attention add new twists to what could drive — or derail — its next phase of growth.
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123 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 02 May 26

Fair value Decreased 3.04%

MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency And Global Data Center Expansion Will Drive Leadership

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Microsoft, reflecting a lower assumed fair value of around $562 and a reduced future P/E of roughly 28x. This comes even as they continue to reference solid revenue growth assumptions and mixed reactions to recent OpenAI and AI infrastructure updates across the latest research reports.
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315 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 18 Apr 26

Fair value Decreased 1.32%

MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency And Heavy Data Center Commitments Will Sustain Leadership

Microsoft's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly lower to $579.57, as analysts factor in updated price targets that reflect a mix of reduced P/E assumptions, along with expectations for revenue growth and profit margins tied to AI and cloud spending. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Microsoft reflects a mix of optimism and caution as analysts recalibrate price targets and ratings around AI, cloud spending, and capital intensity.
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238 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 03 Apr 26

Fair value Decreased 1.23%

MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Leadership

Microsoft's analyst price target has been modestly trimmed as the fair value estimate shifts from $594.62 to $587.31, reflecting a round of target reductions and mixed views on AI related risks and opportunities, even as several firms maintain positive long term opinions on the company's role in software and infrastructure. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Microsoft shows a split view, with many research houses trimming price targets while still seeing long term potential, and a smaller group turning more cautious on AI related execution risks, valuation, and competitive threats.
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286 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 19 Mar 26

Fair value Decreased 0.23%

MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Leadership

Analysts have made a small cut to the Microsoft analyst price target, trimming fair value by about $1 to $594.62 as they factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a marginally lower future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Microsoft presents a mixed but detailed picture, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they recalibrate expectations around AI, capital spending, and long term growth assumptions.
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376 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 05 Mar 26

MSFT: AI Infrastructure Self Sufficiency Will Support Long Duration Cloud Leadership

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Microsoft has been trimmed by a modest amount in dollar terms. Analysts are factoring in slightly lower revenue growth, a small step down in profit margin assumptions, a marginally higher discount rate, and a slightly richer future P/E multiple.
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320 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 18 Feb 26

Fair value Decreased 1.20%

MSFT: AI Self Sufficiency And Global Data Center Expansion Will Sustain Cloud Leadership

Our analyst price target for Microsoft has been nudged lower by a few dollars to reflect a slightly reduced fair value estimate of about $596, as analysts balance ongoing enthusiasm around AI driven capital spending with a wave of recent target trims. These largely stem from valuation discipline and concerns that prior long term assumptions, including P/E and margin expectations, may have been set too high.
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413 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 04 Feb 26

Fair value Decreased 3.05%

MSFT: AI Infrastructure Partnerships And Data Center Expansion Will Sustain Cloud Leadership

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Microsoft by about $19 to $603, citing a blend of slightly higher discount rates, modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple that reflects the recent wave of price target resets and still constructive, AI driven, long term views across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Microsoft centers on how to value its AI opportunity, the required capital spending, and whether current expectations are too high or still leave room for upside.
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393 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 21 Jan 26

Fair value Decreased 0.052%

MSFT: AI Infrastructure Buildout And OpenAI Partnership Will Sustain Cloud Leadership

Microsoft's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower, with fair value now at about $622.19, as analysts balance modest tweaks to the discount rate and P/E assumptions against ongoing AI related demand signals highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Microsoft clusters into two broad camps, with most commentary still constructive on AI driven growth and cloud execution, while a smaller group is more cautious on capital intensity and hyperscaler economics.
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291 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 06 Jan 26

Fair value Decreased 0.31%

MSFT: AI Infrastructure Expansion And OpenAI Deal Will Support Durable Cloud Leadership

Our Microsoft price target edges down slightly to US$622.51 from US$624.45, as analysts balance ongoing enthusiasm around the company’s broad AI and cloud positioning with more cautious views on capital intensity and earnings expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Microsoft reflects a mix of optimism around the company’s AI and cloud positioning and a more cautious read on capital intensity and earnings risk.
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156 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 18 Dec 25

Fair value Decreased 0.15%

MSFT: Expanded AI Partnerships And Infrastructure Will Drive Durable Cloud Leadership

Analysts have nudged their Microsoft price target slightly higher to approximately $650, reflecting confidence that the company's broadened AI partnerships, resilient Azure growth, and durable margin profile justify modestly stronger long term revenue and earnings assumptions despite rising capex and hyperscaler caution. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on Microsoft, with a cluster of recent notes highlighting the company as a primary beneficiary of accelerating AI adoption, robust cloud demand, and deepened model partnerships, even as a minority of voices urge greater caution around hyperscaler capital intensity and returns.
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317 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 03 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 0.093%

MSFT: Expanding AI Data Center Buildout Will Drive Durable Cloud And Platform Leadership

Our Microsoft analyst price target has been raised slightly to about $625 from roughly $625. This reflects analysts' view that durable double digit cloud and AI driven revenue growth, reinforced by expanded OpenAI and Anthropic partnerships and recent Q1 beats, more than offsets concerns about elevated capex and hyperscaler returns.
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280 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 19 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 0.29%

MSFT: Expanding AI Data Center Investments Will Drive Leadership In Next-Generation Cloud Services

Microsoft's analyst price target saw a modest decrease of approximately $2 to $624.83. Some analysts cite rising capital requirements and more cautious expectations for hyperscale cloud providers, despite continued confidence in the company's long-term AI and cloud positioning.
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269 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 05 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 0.90%

MSFT: Future Cloud Demand Will Drive Expansion In AI Infrastructure And Partnerships

Analysts have increased their price target for Microsoft by $5.62 to $626.65. They cite continued momentum in cloud growth, strengthened profit margins, and improving revenue growth expectations driven by Azure’s performance and expanded partnerships in artificial intelligence.
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169 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 22 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 0.047%
Microsoft’s analyst price target has been revised upward to $625 from $582, a $43 increase. Analysts point to ongoing AI strength, Azure momentum, and durable software growth as key drivers for the valuation boost.
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295 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 08 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 1.12%
Microsoft’s analyst price target has been raised from approximately $614 to $621. This reflects increased confidence among analysts in Azure’s accelerating growth, the company's robust positioning in the AI ecosystem, and recent capacity and customer mix enhancements.
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24 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 04 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 12%
The upward revision in Microsoft's consensus price target reflects slight improvements in expected annual revenue growth and a modest increase in its forward P/E multiple, raising the fair value estimate from $549.90 to $601.67. What's in the News Microsoft expanded automation capabilities in security operations through BlinkOps integration with Microsoft Sentinel, now available via Azure Marketplace, enabling no-code AI-driven security workflows and procurement through existing Microsoft agreements.
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5 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 8.64%
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1 viewusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.54%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
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2 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.77%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
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2 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.94%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
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3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 0.39%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
Read more
0 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 2.67%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
Read more
4 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 26 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.059%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
Read more
4 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.038%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
Read more
4 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 11 Mar 25

Fair value Decreased 4.87%
AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.
Read more
3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$561.39
vs US$501.0210.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture0511b2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$510.7bEarnings US$192.9b
17.1%
Revenue growth
37.8%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

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Company analysis

Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.

Market capUS$3.8t
PB8.4x
Estimated Growth15.2%
Dividend Yield0.7%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Satya Nadella
CEO
6.2yrs
CEO Tenure

A technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide.

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