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Published
10 Aug 25
Updated
30 May 26
Views
28
Not Invested
Mitek SystemsMITK
MITK logo
Fair Value
US$17
Share price30 May
US$17.844.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y80.75%
7D-1.00%

Regulatory Shifts Will Undermine Legacy Digital Identity Markets

AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
10 Aug 25
Updated
30 May 26
Views
28
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$17
Share priceUS$17.84
4.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates4

Shared on 30 May 26

Fair value Increased 31%

MITK: Raised Outlook Will Test Margin Resilience And Execution Discipline

Mitek lands new partner placements that bring its identity checks and fraud tools directly into widely used banking and login platforms. The catch is that expectations are now higher, so the company has less room for mistakes if growth slows or costs rise.
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1 viewusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 10 Mar 26

Fair value Increased 18%

MITK: Upgraded Outlook Will Likely Expose Fragile Margin Assumptions

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Mitek Systems to $13.00 from $11.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a recalibrated future P/E that also supported a recent upgrade highlighted in Street research. Analyst Commentary While the fair value estimate has been revised to $13.00, analysts are not uniformly positive.
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3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 11 Jan 26

MITK: 2025 Earnings Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Support Balanced Prospects

Analysts have made modest adjustments to their price targets on Mitek Systems, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E ratios. These revisions collectively support a refined fair value estimate of approximately $11.00 per share.
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3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 17 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 10%

MITK: Revenue Outlook And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Prospects

Analysts have raised their price target on Mitek Systems to 11.00 dollars from 10.00 dollars, citing a combination of higher expected revenue growth and valuation multiples, partially offset by more conservative profit margin assumptions. What's in the News Mitek Systems issued new earnings guidance for full year 2025, targeting total revenue of 179.7 million dollars, a 4 percent increase from 172.1 million dollars a year earlier (company guidance).
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2 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$17
vs US$17.844.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-7m242m2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$242.2mEarnings US$33.2m
8.5%
Revenue growth
13.7%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

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Company analysis

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.

Market capUS$833.0m
PB3.2x
Estimated Growth7.0%
Dividend YieldN/A
Full analysis

CEO & management

Edward West
CEO
2.7yrs
CEO Tenure

Provides digital identity verification and fraud prevention solutions worldwide.

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