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Published
25 Feb 26
Updated
05 Mar 26
Views
183
Not Invested
FastlyFSLY
FSLY logo
Fair Value
US$4.97
Share price05 Mar
US$20.43311.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y177.58%
7D-12.28%

Fastly might have the AI edge with Edge Computing

DA
dadamentos

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Published
25 Feb 26
Updated
05 Mar 26
Views
183
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$4.97
Share priceUS$20.43
311.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates1

Last Update 05 Mar 26

Fastly's Growing Narrative Will Drive Demand Beyond $4.97 Fair Value

The fair value was inaccurate - did not say it was $4.97. Cant put a price on it, what to look for is the narrative becoming more and more widespread and more and more people entering.

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18 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

I'm not always a fan of 'narrative' for individual stocks, but in this day and age where everything needs a story attached to it, I can understand its appeal. The salient point to make here is, that once something develops a narrative that becomes widely known, we're a good part of the way down the road to that narrative failing. Nvidia had the CHiPS Act narrative behind it at a time of a prolonged, Fed inspired bear market, and the sheer ignorance of it's AI / Semi conductor narrative was ignored by too many for too long. But, now that the majority of the investing public can see the potential of AI and how it has upset the IGV / SaaS apple cart, it's time to look at which companies actually benefit from the astronomical increase in usage of LLM's and Coding tools. FSLY is one of those companies, offering Edge Computing services (processing data in localised servers rather than sending it to a central location). If the Agentic economy kicks off like many suspect, this name may be one of the stars of the scene. It has already been through its initial covid inspired boom / bust phase and has had a number of years to churn volume, kick out the impatient and await its next run. A quick glimpse at its chart and you see all its volume way down below price, and clear skies above. Stabilising over $19 should see a decent chance for a pump. There's always caveat's though; while the whole Western world is focused on finding the next big tech guy, the geopolitical uncertainty of the Trump era may see the valuable are in areas that many are not looking for (defence, energy). It remains to be seen, but while the US is winning, so too is Tech, and if Ai has democratised software building, FSLY may be a beneficiary as compute wars heat up.

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Disclaimer

The user dadamentos holds no position in NasdaqGS:FSLY. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value vs Share Price

US$4.97
vs US$20.43311.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-236m1b201720202023202620292031Revenue US$1.0bEarnings US$75.7m
9.9%
Revenue growth
7.6%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

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Company analysis

Flawless balance sheet with low risk.

Market capUS$3.3b
PB3.3x
Estimated Growth9.9%
Dividend YieldN/A
Full analysis

CEO & management

Charles Compton
CEO
1.3yrs
CEO Tenure

Operates an edge cloud platform for processing, serving, and securing its customer’s applications in the United States, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and internationally.

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