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Published
13 Feb 26
Updated
07 Aug 26
Views
33
Not Invested
BlackbaudBLKB
BLKB logo
Fair Value
US$45
Share price07 Aug
US$42.854.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
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1Y-35.78%
7D-6.17%

AI Adoption And Contract Renewals Will Shape Long Term Stability For This Software Provider

AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
13 Feb 26
Updated
07 Aug 26
Views
33
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$45
Share priceUS$42.85
4.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates3

Shared on 07 Aug 26

Fair value Increased 50%

BLKB: Headless Era AI Execution And Margins Will Shape Future Returns

Wall Street is split on Blackbaud as AI reshapes how customers use and pay for software, raising questions about whether it can keep pricing steady while funding new AI features. A new campus-focused partnership and stronger cash results are lifting some views, but others warn that higher AI costs and uneven uptake could still squeeze profits.
Read more
6 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 24 Jul 26

Fair value Decreased 33%

BLKB: Headless Era AI Adoption Will Reshape Pricing Power And Execution Risk

Some analysts turn sharply more cautious on Blackbaud as they worry AI could change how customers use its software and make it harder to charge more without raising costs. Blackbaud is rolling out new AI “agents” for schools and nonprofits, but questions remain about how well these tools will sell and how smoothly customers will adopt them.
Read more
2 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 10 Jul 26

Fair value Decreased 10%

BLKB: AI Usage Shift Will Reshape Pricing Power And Support Future Upside

Some analysts get more cautious on Blackbaud as AI starts changing how people use software, raising questions about whether the company can keep charging the same way. Blackbaud keeps pushing new AI products and sticks to its outlook, but investors may need to weigh whether AI costs outpace what customers are willing to pay.
Read more
3 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$45
vs US$42.854.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-297m1b2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$1.3bEarnings US$175.1m
4.2%
Revenue growth
13.5%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

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Company analysis

Very undervalued with acceptable track record.

Market capUS$1.9b
PB28.6x
Estimated Growth4.7%
Dividend Yield0%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Michael Gianoni
CEO
4.2yrs
CEO Tenure

Engages in the providing AI-powered solutions in the United States and internationally.

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Level 5, 320 Pitt Street, Sydney
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