Alarm.com Holdings

Rising Compliance Burdens And Supply Issues Will Compress Margins

AnalystLowTarget

Not Invested

Community Contributor

Published

05 May 25

Updated

08 May 25

AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value

US$50.00

0.2% overvalued

09 Aug

US$50.12

-7.2%

-2.5%

-7.2%

-2.5%

You can edit this narrative until May 12 6:01 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$500.2% overvalued

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

Narrative

Updates1

Shared on08 May 25

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

US$50

0.2% overvalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

4.11%

Software revenue growth rate

1.49%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

9.72%

Calculation

US$142.78m

Earnings '28

23.53x

PE Ratio '28

US$3.36b

Market Cap '28

US$3.36b

Market Cap '28

51.93m

No. shares '28

US$64.70

Share Price '28

US$64.70 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 9.63% p.a.

US$49.11

Fair Value '25