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Alarm.com Holdings
ALRM
Alarm.com Holdings
Rising Compliance Burdens And Supply Issues Will Compress Margins
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Not Invested
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Published
05 May 25
Updated
09 Aug 25
0
Set Fair Value
0
votes
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AnalystLowTarget
's Fair Value
US$50.00
6.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
09 Aug
US$53.40
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1Y
-10.1%
7D
-4.0%
Author's Valuation
US$50.0
6.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget Fair Value
View Valuation
Narrative
Updates
1
Shared on
08 May 25
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votes
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Valuator
Company Info
Notes
AnalystLowTarget Fair Value
US$50.0
6.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Future estimation in
3 Years
time period
Past
Future
-13m
1b
2014
2017
2020
2023
2025
2026
2028
Revenue US$1.1b
Earnings US$142.8m
Revenue
Profit Margin
Future PE
Revenue
% p.a.
0
Decrease
Increase
Current revenue growth rate
4.28%
Software revenue growth rate
1.50%
Other Inputs & Calculation
Risk Level (Discount Rate)
Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.
Risk Level (Discount Rate)
%
0
Decrease
Increase
Current discount rate
9.64%
Calculation
US$142.78m
Earnings '28
x
23.53x
PE Ratio '28
=
US$3.36b
Market Cap '28
US$3.36b
Market Cap '28
/
51.93m
No. shares '28
=
US$64.70
Share Price '28
US$64.70
Share Price '28
Discounted to 2025 @ 9.63% p.a.
=
US$49.11
Fair Value '25