Penske Automotive Group

Steady Dividend Increases And Digital Advancements Will Support Long Term Value

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

22 Aug 24

Updated

10 Dec 25

Views

30

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

7.2%

7D

-1.3%

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1Y

7.2%

7D

-1.3%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 11 1:05 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$180.897.2% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 10 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 0.57%

PAG Will Continue Returning Capital While Modest Earnings Risks Persist

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Penske Automotive Group by approximately 1 dollar to reflect slightly stronger expectations for revenue growth and a marginally higher future earnings multiple, partially offset by a small reduction in projected profit margins and a higher discount rate. What's in the News Completed a long running share repurchase program, buying back 198,475 shares between July 1 and October 24, 2025, for 33.35 million dollars, and totaling 30,698,231 shares, or 38.31 percent of shares outstanding, repurchased since the buyback began in 2010 (company buyback update) Continued returning capital to shareholders through an increased quarterly dividend of 1.38 dollars per share, up 4.5 percent, or 0.06 dollars, marking the 20th consecutive quarterly dividend increase, payable December 2, 2025, to shareholders of record on November 14, 2025 (company dividend announcement) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly to approximately 180.89 dollars from 179.86 dollars, reflecting a modest upward revision in intrinsic value.

Shared on 29 Oct 25

Narrative Update on Penske Automotive Group Analysts have maintained the fair value estimate for Penske Automotive Group at $179.86. This reflects steady expectations, as key underlying assumptions saw only marginal adjustments.

Shared on 14 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 1.29%

Analysts have raised their price target for Penske Automotive Group by approximately $2.29, citing updated forecasts for profit margins and overall financial performance. What's in the News From April 1, 2025 to July 30, 2025, Penske Automotive Group repurchased 496,273 shares, representing 0.74% of its outstanding shares, for a total of $71.32 million.

Shared on 05 Sep 25

With both the consensus analyst price target and key valuation metrics such as discount rate and future P/E ratio remaining effectively unchanged, analyst sentiment and fair value estimate for Penske Automotive Group are stable at $177.57. What's in the News Repurchased 496,273 shares for $71.32 million, completing 38.01% of buyback announced in 2010.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Increased 0.88%

Shared on 30 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 2.65%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.0% to 0.0%.

Shared on 16 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.61%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 2.80%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 3.52%

Shared on 26 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 0.31%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from 6.1% to 4.3%.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 2.42%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased future PE multiple from 14.3x to 16.2x and increased discount rate from 8.5% to 9.3%.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$180.89

7.2% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

3.68%

Specialty Stores revenue growth rate

0.29%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

10.43%

Calculation

US$946.56m

Earnings '28

x

16.22x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$15.36b

Market Cap '28

US$15.36b

Market Cap '28

/

63.26m

No. shares '28

=

US$242.77

Share Price '28

US$242.77 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 10.45% p.a.

=

US$180.15

Fair Value '25