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Published
04 Sep 25
Updated
12 Aug 26
Views
685
Not Invested
Hecla MiningHL
HL logo
Fair Value
US$17
Share price12 Aug
US$20.8522.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y90.06%
7D0.39%

Aging Mines And Stringent ESG Rules Will Cripple Returns

AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
04 Sep 25
Updated
12 Aug 26
Views
685
Not Invested
Fair ValueUS$17
Share priceUS$20.85
22.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates8

Shared on 12 Aug 26

Fair value Decreased 11%

HL: Exploration Success And Solid Margins Will Support Higher Future P/E

Hecla reports fresh drilling wins and new high-grade finds across several sites, alongside a strong balance sheet and solid operating performance. But falling silver prices and more cautious growth expectations are pushing analysts to lower what they think the business is worth, even as the market seems willing to pay up for future results.
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7 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 30 Jun 26

Fair value Increased 34%

HL: Index Upgrade And Silver Output Will Support Higher Future P/E

Hecla’s silver output ticks up and the company moves into bigger stock indexes, which could change how large funds buy and hold the shares. Analysts also lift their view of what the business is worth after adjusting their expectations for growth and profitability.
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53 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 02 Jun 26

Fair value Increased 2.46%

HL: Debt Free Silver Pivot Will Eventually Strain Elevated Future P/E

Hecla says it’s now debt-free after selling its Casa Berardi gold mine, but that move also helped drive a quarterly loss even as its mines generated strong cash flow. With the company leaning harder into silver projects while facing permitting delays at Keno Hill, the big question is whether today’s optimism leaves enough room for setbacks.
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29 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 13 Apr 26

HL: Weaker Silver Outlook Will Eventually Challenge Elevated Future P/E Multiple

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Hecla Mining by a small amount to $13.85, reflecting updated views that factor in a lower revenue growth outlook, a higher expected discount rate, a stronger profit margin, and a slightly higher future P/E of 23.17x. What's in the News Issued new consolidated production guidance for the twelve months ending December 31, 2026, with expected silver output of 15.1 million to 16.5 million ounces and gold output of 65,000 to 72,000 ounces, including 14,000 to 17,000 ounces from Casa Berardi in the first quarter (company guidance).
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31 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 30 Mar 26

Fair value Decreased 13%

HL: Slower Production Outlook Will Likely Undermine Rich Future P/E Multiple

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Hecla Mining from $16.00 to about $13.85, citing updated assumptions that pair a higher forecast profit margin of roughly 42.8% with a lower expected revenue growth rate of about 1.0% and a reduced future P/E of around 22.9x. What's in the News Hecla issued new consolidated silver production guidance for the twelve months ending December 31, 2026, at 15.1 to 16.5 million ounces, and gold production guidance at 65,000 to 72,000 ounces, including 14,000 to 17,000 ounces from Casa Berardi in the first quarter (Corporate guidance).
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40 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 15 Feb 26

Fair value Increased 33%

HL: Higher Multiple Will Likely Overstate Benefits Of New Production Guidance

Analysts have lifted their price target on Hecla Mining from $12.00 to $16.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly revised discount rate and P/E outlook. What's in the News Issued consolidated production guidance for 2026, with expected silver output of 15.1 million to 16.5 million ounces and gold production of 134,000 to 146,000 ounces (company guidance).
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33 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 18 Jan 26

HL: Higher Multiple And Slower Revenue Will Likely Undermine Production Optimism

Analysts have nudged their price target for Hecla Mining to US$12.00, supported by updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E of about 29.9x. What's in the News Hecla plans an analyst and investor day focused on its approach to strategy, finance, operations, exploration, sustainability, and innovation, providing a more detailed view into how management is thinking about the business.
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226 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 20 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 85%

HL: Future Exploration Success Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Optimism

Analysts have raised their price target on Hecla Mining to 12.00 dollars from 6.50 dollars, citing sharply improved expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a more attractive future earnings multiple, despite a slightly higher assumed discount rate. What's in the News Exploration drilling at the Midas Project in Nevada has discovered new high grade gold structures along the two mile Pogo Trend, reinforcing the potential to restart the site using existing permitted mill and tailings capacity (company announcement).
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45 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

US$17
vs US$20.8522.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-119m2b2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$1.3bEarnings US$487.2m
-10.4%
Revenue growth
38.8%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

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Company analysis

Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.

Market capUS$13.7b
PB5.2x
Estimated Growth-1.7%
Dividend Yield0.07%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Robert Krcmarov
CEO
4.3yrs
CEO Tenure

Provides precious and base metals in the United States, Canada, Japan, Korea, China, and internationally.

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