Warrior Met Coal

Decarbonization And Policy Risks Will Erode Market Margins

AnalystLowTarget

Not Invested

Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts

Published

04 May 25

Updated

16 Aug 25

AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value

US$50.00

20.2% overvalued

16 Aug

US$60.10

-0.4%

3.9%

-0.4%

3.9%

Author's Valuation

US$50.0

20.2% overvalued

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

Narrative

Updates1

Shared on08 May 25

AnalystLowTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

US$50.0

20.2% overvalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

19.04%

Metals and Mining revenue growth rate

2.49%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

7.45%

Calculation

US$263.97m

Earnings '28

12.46x

PE Ratio '28

US$3.29b

Market Cap '28

US$3.29b

Market Cap '28

53.35m

No. shares '28

US$61.63

Share Price '28

US$61.63 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 7.46% p.a.

US$49.67

Fair Value '25