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Government Support And Facility Upgrades Will Shape Future Biofuels Markets

Published
08 Aug 24
Updated
27 Aug 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$58.30
7.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
27 Aug
US$62.66
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1Y
3.0%
7D
2.5%

Author's Valuation

US$58.3

7.5% overvalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on27 Aug 25
Fair value Increased 2.28%

The analyst price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland has been raised to $58.30, reflecting early stabilization in Nutrition, a more favorable Ag Services outlook, improved execution, and an expected Q2 EBITDA beat, partially offset by weaker North American crush margins. Analyst Commentary Early signs of stabilization in the Nutrition segment are emerging.

Shared on08 Aug 25
Fair value Increased 8.92%

The analyst price target for Archer-Daniels-Midland has been raised to $55.00, primarily reflecting early stabilization in Nutrition, improved industry conditions and execution, and an expected Q2 EBITDA beat, partially offset by weaker North American crush margins. Analyst Commentary Early signs of stabilization in the Nutrition segment More constructive industry backdrop in Agricultural Services Improved company execution and increased policy visibility Expectation of Q2 EBITDA beating consensus by 6% Upside partially offset by anticipated weaker crush margins in North America Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Archer-Daniels-Midland The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $52.33 to $55.00.

Shared on07 May 25
Fair value Increased 9.76%

Shared on30 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 2.21%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.0% to -0.0%.

Shared on23 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on16 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 0.55%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on09 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 2.10%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on26 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 1.61%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 1.0% to 2.8%.

Shared on19 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 0.70%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on10 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 4.03%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -0.0% to 1.0%.