Oatly Group

Cost And Backlash Pressures Will Limit Oat Beverage Expansion

AnalystLowTarget

Not Invested

Community Contributor

Published

10 Aug 25

Updated

12 Dec 25

n/a

AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value

n/a

-16.0%

-4.8%

-16.0%

-4.8%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 13 2:10 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$1417.3% undervalued

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

Narrative

Updates1

Shared on 12 Dec 25

Fair value Decreased 13%

OTLY: Margin Expansion Potential Will Drive Optimism Despite Near Term Volume Weakness

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Oatly Group to $14.00 from $16.00, reflecting softer near term retail volumes and promotional activity. They also acknowledge improving supply efficiency, early signs of portfolio recovery, and a potential path to mid single digit revenue growth with margin expansion over the next few years.

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

US$14

17.3% undervalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

4.49%

Food revenue growth rate

0.41%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

7.36%

Calculation

US$58.05m

Earnings '28

9.23x

PE Ratio '28

US$535.60m

Market Cap '28

US$535.60m

Market Cap '28

31.55m

No. shares '28

US$16.97

Share Price '28

US$16.97 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 7.26% p.a.

US$13.75

Fair Value '25