Granite Ridge Resources

Decarbonization Policies And Debt Risks Will Drag Down Value

AnalystLowTarget

Not Invested

Community Contributor

Published

15 May 25

Updated

14 Dec 25

Views

n/a

AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value

n/a

-14.2%

-9.7%

-14.2%

-9.7%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 15 2:05 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$53.0% undervalued

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

Narrative

Updates1

Shared on 14 Dec 25

Fair value Decreased 9.09%

GRNT: Future Outlook Will Balance Rising Production With Tighter Profit Margins

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Granite Ridge Resources from approximately 5.50 dollars to 5.00 dollars, citing a higher assumed discount rate, slower projected revenue growth, and lower forecast profit margins that are only partially offset by expectations for a higher future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Reported strong third quarter 2025 net oil production of 1,492 MBbl, up from 1,164 MBbl a year earlier, highlighting continued growth in liquids output (company operating results).

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

US$5

3.0% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

9.38%

Oil and Gas revenue growth rate

1.19%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

6.96%

Calculation

US$58.95m

Earnings '28

13.70x

PE Ratio '28

US$807.53m

Market Cap '28

US$807.53m

Market Cap '28

132.58m

No. shares '28

US$6.09

Share Price '28

US$6.09 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 6.96% p.a.

US$4.98

Fair Value '25