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Noah Holdings
NOAH
Noah Holdings
China's Tightening Rules And Aging Population Will Sap Confidence
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Not Invested
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Published
04 Aug 25
Updated
10 Aug 25
0
Set Fair Value
0
votes
Share
AnalystLowTarget
's Fair Value
US$6.93
72.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
10 Aug
US$11.95
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1Y
53.2%
7D
-2.0%
Author's Valuation
US$6.9
72.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget Fair Value
View Valuation
Narrative
Updates
0
Valuator
Company Info
Notes
AnalystLowTarget Fair Value
US$6.9
72.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Future estimation in
3 Years
time period
Past
Future
-528m
4b
2014
2017
2020
2023
2025
2026
2028
Revenue CN¥2.8b
Earnings CN¥599.0m
Revenue
Profit Margin
Future PE
Revenue
% p.a.
0
Decrease
Increase
Current revenue growth rate
4.15%
Capital Markets revenue growth rate
0.29%
Other Inputs & Calculation
Risk Level (Discount Rate)
Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.
Risk Level (Discount Rate)
%
0
Decrease
Increase
Current discount rate
8.74%
Calculation
CN¥599.00m
Earnings '28
x
8.96x
PE Ratio '28
=
CN¥5.36b
Market Cap '28
CN¥5.36b
Market Cap '28
/
83.84m
No. shares '28
=
CN¥63.98
Share Price '28
CN¥63.98
Share Price '28
Discounted to 2025 @ 8.72% p.a.
=
CN¥49.80
Fair Value '25
CN¥49.80
Fair Value '25
Converted to USD @ 0.1392 CNY/USD Exchange Rate
=
US$6.93
Fair Value '25