Main Street Capital

Shifting Focus And Rising Credit Issues Signal Turbulence Ahead For Growth

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

02 Sep 24

Updated

26 Nov 25

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

4.9%

7D

2.9%

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1Y

4.9%

7D

2.9%

You can edit this narrative until Nov 27 1:05 PM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$60.674.3% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 26 Nov 25

MAIN: Dividend Increases And Consistent Asset Growth Will Balance Rate Headwinds

Main Street Capital's average analyst price target has decreased by $4. This reflects a balanced risk and reward outlook as analysts cite steady earnings, premium valuation, and recent earnings results slightly below expectations.

Shared on 12 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 2.15%

MAIN: Dividend Hikes And Income From Private Loans Will Offset Rate Risks

The analyst price target for Main Street Capital was revised upward by $15. This reflects analysts' view of stronger net interest income opportunities, despite some concern over modestly reduced profit margins and slower revenue growth projections.

Shared on 29 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 3.77%

The consensus analyst price target for Main Street Capital has been raised to $62.00, reflecting stronger Q2 earnings, expectations for continued net interest income growth from portfolio expansion and higher dividend income, and optimism regarding the company's high-quality debt and equity portfolio despite anticipated Fed rate cuts. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Main Street Capital's Q2 earnings beat as a driver for upward revisions in price target.

Shared on 15 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 6.22%

The consensus analyst price target for Main Street Capital has increased, primarily reflecting upgraded expectations for revenue growth and an expansion in future P/E multiples, resulting in a new fair value estimate of $59.75. What's in the News Board declared a supplemental cash dividend of $0.30 per share to be paid in September.

Shared on 29 Jul 25

Fair value Increased 12%

Despite a notable decline in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Main Street Capital's future P/E multiple has expanded considerably, driving the consensus analyst price target up from $50.40 to $56.25. What's in the News Declared a supplemental cash dividend of $0.30 per share payable in June 2025.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$60.67

4.3% undervalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

0

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

1.18%

Capital Markets revenue growth rate

0.25%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

9.17%

Calculation

US$221.20m

Earnings '28

x

32.81x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$7.26b

Market Cap '28

US$7.26b

Market Cap '28

/

92.75m

No. shares '28

=

US$78.25

Share Price '28

US$78.25 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 9.15% p.a.

=

US$60.17

Fair Value '25