Shift4 Payments

Sector Uncertainty And Partnerships Will Shape Future Cashless Payment Expansion

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

27 Aug 24

Updated

10 Dec 25

Views

371

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

-34.9%

7D

-6.2%

Loading

1Y

-34.9%

7D

-6.2%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 11 8:05 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

US$95.8632.7% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 10 Dec 25

Fair value Decreased 0.05%

FOUR: Upcoming Buyback And Sports Partnerships Will Drive Long Term Upside

Analysts have nudged their average price targets for Shift4 Payments slightly lower, trimming them by a few dollars per share. This reflects modestly reduced long term growth and margin assumptions amid macro and vertical specific uncertainty, despite still robust underlying fundamentals.

Shared on 26 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 0.79%

FOUR: Upcoming Buyback Authorization And Sports Expansions Will Drive Shareholder Value

Analysts have slightly reduced their average price target for Shift4 Payments, lowering it by less than $1 as they factor in moderate updates to growth estimates and profit margins because of near-term uncertainties in core verticals. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on Shift4 Payments is mixed, with recent research reflecting both optimism about the company’s long-term prospects and caution surrounding near-term risks.

Shared on 11 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 8.48%

FOUR: Future Buyback Authorization And Sports Expansion Will Support Shareholder Return

Shift4 Payments' analyst price target has been lowered from approximately $106 to $97, as analysts cite strong core business momentum. However, they note this is tempered by further macroeconomic uncertainty and revised growth expectations.

Shared on 28 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 2.52%

Shift4 Payments' fair value estimate was revised slightly downward to $105.62 from $108.35. Analysts cited modestly lower growth and profit margin assumptions amid ongoing sector uncertainty and recent price target reductions.

Shared on 13 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 2.05%

Analysts have lowered their price target for Shift4 Payments by approximately $2 to $108.35. They cite near-term growth headwinds and slightly reduced profit margins, despite resilient core business performance and optimism for long-term revenue opportunities.

Shared on 04 Sep 25

Despite mixed Q2 results, sector underperformance, and heightened macroeconomic uncertainty leading to near-term disappointment, analysts remain constructive on Shift4 Payments’ long-term growth prospects, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of $110.62. Analyst Commentary Mixed Q2 results: Slight revenue beat and EBITDA in-line, but Q2 volume missed expectations, leading to short-term disappointment and recent stock underperformance.

Shared on 07 May 25

Fair value Decreased 27%

Shared on 30 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.19%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 1.14%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.1% to 0.0%.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 5.59%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 3.31%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Increased 3.58%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 10 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 46%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased future PE multiple from 27.6x to 37.4x.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

US$95.86

32.7% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

18.67%

Diversified Financial revenue growth rate

0.29%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.97%

Calculation

US$615.54m

Earnings '28

x

13.49x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$8.30b

Market Cap '28

US$8.30b

Market Cap '28

/

67.40m

No. shares '28

=

US$123.16

Share Price '28

US$123.16 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 8.93% p.a.

=

US$95.29

Fair Value '25