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Digital Payments And Financial Inclusion Will Unlock Brazil Market Potential

Published
21 Nov 24
Updated
29 Sep 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$19.06
7.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
29 Sep
US$17.70
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1Y
58.9%
7D
-6.4%

Author's Valuation

US$19.067.2% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on29 Sep 25
Fair value Increased 8.11%

The upward revision in StoneCo’s price target primarily reflects a lower discount rate, which more than offsets slightly reduced revenue growth expectations, resulting in a new consensus fair value estimate of $19.06. What's in the News Raised 2025 gross profit guidance to over BRL 6.3 billion, implying 14.5%+ year-over-year growth.

Shared on14 Sep 25
Fair value Increased 4.09%

The increase in StoneCo’s consensus price target reflects a sharply lower future P/E ratio, indicating improved earnings expectations, while a modest decline in the discount rate further supports a higher fair value, now at $17.64. What's in the News StoneCo raised 2025 earnings guidance, now projecting over 14.5% gross profit growth and updating EPS growth from 18% to 32%, driven by share buybacks and stronger net income.

Shared on30 Aug 25
Fair value Increased 3.09%

Despite a modest decline in consensus revenue growth forecasts, StoneCo's significantly lower future P/E implies improved expected profitability, supporting an upward revision in the consensus analyst price target from $16.43 to $16.94. What's in the News StoneCo raised full-year 2025 guidance, now expecting gross profit growth above 14.5% and gross profit to exceed BRL 6.3 billion.

Shared on01 May 25
Fair value Increased 10%

Shared on23 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 6.90%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on17 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 1.02%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on09 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 4.39%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased profit margin from 25.7% to 22.2% and increased future PE multiple from 4.8x to 5.6x.

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 20%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on26 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 2.58%

Shared on19 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 3.79%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.1% to -0.1%.

Shared on12 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 6.21%

AnalystConsensusTarget has increased revenue growth from 11.8% to 13.6%, decreased profit margin from 25.6% to 19.2%, increased future PE multiple from 5.4x to 7.6x and increased shares outstanding growth rate from -0.1% to -0.1%.